COVID
Vaccines: People Argue Worthless Points, Like Morality and Rights
Only risk counts. What level are you taking, in monetary terms?

Scenario
Las Vegas offers odds for betting on everything. Their payout is always in cash. Even the CDC calculates odds (GOOGLE “odds covid”). For most people, all of these odds and risks pass over their heads without much thought. Instead, they focus on their rights.
This article converts all of those odds into something easy to understand. It equalizes the bets so that a billionaire with 5 houses and 10 limos will suffer the same loss as a minimum wage worker with a one-room apartment.
Bets & Losses by Risk Level
Bet: House & Car. You don’t get the vaccine, go to football games and rock concerts, don’t take any precautions, and frequently go barhopping. Highest risk, largest bet.
Loss: You lose the use of both your house and car after you are well for the length of time you and members of your family suffered from COVID. If it kills you, the house and car are not part of your estate. Of course, if your family gets it and you don’t, you win.
A billionaire loses the use of all 5 houses and 10 limos.
Bet: Car. You don’t take any precautions but live in a fairly stable environment with few outsiders. You depend mostly on luck to avoid COVID or its worst symptoms if you do get it. High risk.
Loss: Same as the highest risk, except you get to stay in your house.
Bet: Paycheck. You’ve gotten the vaccines, but not the booster and don’t take any other precautions. You may be less miserable and somewhat less likely to catch it. Medium risk.
Loss: The amount of your last full paycheck, one social security check, or 1/12 of your taxable income for last year, or 40 hours at minimum wage, payable upon diagnosis.
Bet: One dinner out. You’ve gotten the vaccines, booster, wear masks, maintain social distancing as much as possible, and avoid crowds, especially those with many strangers. Lowest risk.
Loss: The amount is payable after you have recovered. You pick the restaurant, even if it is McDonald’s.
All risks. You still suffer through COVID if you lose, no matter the other losses.
If You Win
Bragging rights. Twelve months after the initial bet, you have the thrill of being right in your opinions. You get no tangible assets or money.
You may come up with another set of bets, but whatever it is, the less you do to avoid and prevent COVID, the higher the risk.
References
- Example: CDC risk factors that change the odds






