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Abstract

accurate. Posting misleading numbers tends to negatively impact one’s credibility and makes me wonder if anything else is accurate.</p><h2 id="5905">References</h2><div id="a3de" class="link-block"> <a href="https://www.cato.org/blog/border-looks-identical-2019-without-repeat-crossers"> <div> <div> <h2>Border Looks Identical to 2019 Without Repeat Crossers</h2> <div><h3>The number of arrests at the border in February reached the highest level in any February in 15 years, and the…</h3></div> <div><p>www.cato.org</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/0*OdntuAVTeAQXDgt-)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div><ul><li><i>Stats show big increase of recidivism under Biden (crossing more than once)</i></li><li><i>Total count is inflated by that recidivism</i></li></ul><div id="0911" class="link-block"> <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/stuartanderson/2021/03/10/illegal-immigration-in-america-has-continued-to-decline/?sh=3c1439f54e14"> <div> <div> <h2>Illegal Immigration In America Has Continued To Decline</h2> <div><h3>In a report that could provide context to most immigration news stories, new research reveals that the number of…</h3></div> <div><p>www.forbes.com</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/0*H_RXbSqiFkDTNT0e)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div><ul><li

Options

<i>Link shows total illegals living in US by year</i></li><li><i>Each total was less than expected based on illegals counted at border</i></li><li><i>Some individuals cross 2, 3 or 4 times & are counted each time at border</i></li></ul><div id="effc" class="link-block"> <a href="https://www.carnegie.org/our-work/article/15-myths-about-immigration-debunked/"> <div> <div> <h2>15 Myths About Immigration Debunked | Immigration | Carnegie Corporation of New York</h2> <div><h3>What are the common arguments against immigration, and why are they wrong? The Cato Institute's Alex Nowrasteh, drawing…</h3></div> <div><p>www.carnegie.org</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/0*_ELffILeAP5bYqay)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div><ul><li><i>Not directly related to the 2 million, but thwarts misconceptions</i></li></ul><h2 id="34ef">Other articles in the same category</h2><div id="2d33" class="link-block"> <a href="https://readmedium.com/politics-table-of-contents-toc-db10b3a751e1"> <div> <div> <h2>Politics — Table of Contents (TOC)</h2> <div><h3>A brief synopsis & links to my stories about government and society</h3></div> <div><p>medium.com</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/1*XPj560UJwRTKPJHQwl582A.jpeg)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div></article></body>

POLITICS — Misleading Posts

Rep. Webster, FL, Shows How to Lie with Statistics

The number is real, so the clickbait implications are the lie

Facebook Snapshot, Author — April 4, 2022

To panic the casual reader

  1. It appears that the US suddenly had 2 million illegals where there weren’t any before — a horrible change.
  2. The number is for a normal timeframe of a year.
  3. Trump did a great job preventing illegals.

Reality

Statistics on Google are all over the place, covering numerous categories and many timeframes. There is probably one to support any position you want to take.

For this post, most people think by month or year.

This post of 2 million covers 15 months!

Assuming the same number for each month means 1.6 million over a year, not 2 million. So, the 2 million number itself is misleading.

Trump in 2019 had 1.25 million illegals, lower but not great. So, Biden’s number is not really that new.

Some people are sent back and cross again. As a result, they may be counted 3 or 4 times, which inflates the crossings number.

What would have been accurate

Based on the above numbers, either of these posts would have been better.

— 350,000 increase in illegal border crossings under Biden — Illegal border crossings increased 30% under Biden

Not as sensational, but more accurate. Posting misleading numbers tends to negatively impact one’s credibility and makes me wonder if anything else is accurate.

References

  • Stats show big increase of recidivism under Biden (crossing more than once)
  • Total count is inflated by that recidivism
  • Link shows total illegals living in US by year
  • Each total was less than expected based on illegals counted at border
  • Some individuals cross 2, 3 or 4 times & are counted each time at border
  • Not directly related to the 2 million, but thwarts misconceptions

Other articles in the same category

Politics
Credibility
Clickbait Headlines
Misleading Claims
Inaccuracy
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