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Abstract

. Maybe you live a very healthy life and increase your chances of a long life, maybe you are already ill and therefore have lower chances. Nevertheless, in my opinion, the simulation gives an interesting tendency.</p><p id="e124">To better understand the graph. The blue curve shows the probability of reaching the next year of life. At the age of 60, it is still 99% but logically decreases with increasing age. The balls are lifetimes simulated by the random generator on the basis of the probabilities. The law of large numbers says that the longer you run the simulation, the more accurate the result.</p><p id="48d5">Here is the advice of Nathan Yau, the author of the article on the simulation.</p><blockquote id="0ad6"><p>Let the simulation run long enough (or flip on the “fast” switch), and the distribution always converges towards a curve that skews towards older. That’s expected.</p></blockquote><blockquote id="4489"><p>The individual data points? Those are much less predictable.</p></blockquote><blockquote id="3694"><p>Well, depending on your age of course.</p></blockquote><h2 id="937e">My thoughts on my result</h2><p id="edf2">According to the simulation, there is only a 70% probability that it will happen as I have always assumed and that I will live at least another 50 years. In other words, this fact terrifies me more: there is a 30% chance of it not happening that way.</p><p id="d856">I recommend trying out the simulation for yourself. Maybe it can also help you to live more consciously.</p><p id="a376">You can find it<b> <a href="https://flowingdata.com/2015/09/23/years-you-have-left-to-live-probably/">here.</a></b></p><p id="2851">Thanks for reading!</p><p id="119a"><b>Wait a second.</b> Y<i>ou should get my articles in your inbox. <a href="https://medium.com/subscribe/@whitep"><b>Subscribe here.</b> </a>Maybe you also want to start writing on Medium yourself and make money. I made $2300 in my second month! You only need a membership for$ 5 a month. If you sign up<a href="https://medium.com/@whitep/mem

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bership"> <b>with my link</b></a>, you support me with a part of your fee without additional costs.</i></p><p id="ceba">I think you will also like these articles:</p><div id="b713" class="link-block"> <a href="https://readmedium.com/angus-barbieri-the-man-who-went-382-days-without-eating-71cb05bd5ed6"> <div> <div> <h2>Angus Barbieri, The Man Who Went 382 Days Without Eating</h2> <div><h3>The longest fast ever…</h3></div> <div><p>medium.com</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/1*4w90t9WVGztOncFd7Zi6BA.png)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div><div id="a36d" class="link-block"> <a href="https://readmedium.com/the-uncomfortable-truth-that-universities-dont-teach-you-b83e027daa1c"> <div> <div> <h2>The Uncomfortable Truth That Universities Don’t Teach You</h2> <div><h3>This might change your outlook on your life.</h3></div> <div><p>medium.com</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/0*zK5PEuM2MRMIWnHX)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div><div id="8bea" class="link-block"> <a href="https://readmedium.com/the-genius-strategy-to-become-the-best-version-of-yourself-55a97feee238"> <div> <div> <h2>The Genius Strategy To Become The Best Version Of Yourself</h2> <div><h3>Do this to reach your goals.</h3></div> <div><p>medium.com</p></div> </div> <div> <div style="background-image: url(https://miro.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:320/0*Y5V-X5_6-3uB5NA5)"></div> </div> </div> </a> </div></article></body>

A Simulation Shows How Long You Have Left To Live!

We are all going to die. Maybe sooner than we think.

“We have two lives; the second begins when we realize we only have one.” — Confucius

When I was younger, I was always sure that I would live until 80. Or even longer. I don’t know why, but it seemed a given to me.

But some events in my immediate environment in recent years have changed this view. The hard truth is that none of us know for certain how long he or she will still walk around on this planet.

When I realized that, Conficius’ quote confirmed itself for me. This realization has really changed my life. Since then I am much more aware of what is really important and what is not. I am much more conscious of my time and try to make the best of every day.

Life is a terminal condition. Were all going to die. Cancer patients just have more information, but we all, in some ways, wait for permission to live.

Kris Carr

The Simulation

This simulation represents the probabilities for the years I have left to live. It is based on data from the Social Security Administration.

I guess your probabilities, just like mine, will be a little different in reality than the simulation shows. Maybe you live a very healthy life and increase your chances of a long life, maybe you are already ill and therefore have lower chances. Nevertheless, in my opinion, the simulation gives an interesting tendency.

To better understand the graph. The blue curve shows the probability of reaching the next year of life. At the age of 60, it is still 99% but logically decreases with increasing age. The balls are lifetimes simulated by the random generator on the basis of the probabilities. The law of large numbers says that the longer you run the simulation, the more accurate the result.

Here is the advice of Nathan Yau, the author of the article on the simulation.

Let the simulation run long enough (or flip on the “fast” switch), and the distribution always converges towards a curve that skews towards older. That’s expected.

The individual data points? Those are much less predictable.

Well, depending on your age of course.

My thoughts on my result

According to the simulation, there is only a 70% probability that it will happen as I have always assumed and that I will live at least another 50 years. In other words, this fact terrifies me more: there is a 30% chance of it not happening that way.

I recommend trying out the simulation for yourself. Maybe it can also help you to live more consciously.

You can find it here.

Thanks for reading!

Wait a second. You should get my articles in your inbox. Subscribe here. Maybe you also want to start writing on Medium yourself and make money. I made $2300 in my second month! You only need a membership for $5 a month. If you sign up with my link, you support me with a part of your fee without additional costs.