avatarJordan Fraser

Summary

South Korea is bracing for a significant COVID-19 outbreak, with projections suggesting up to 40% of the population could be infected, while China reports progress in controlling the virus domestically.

Abstract

According to Seoul National University Hospital, South Korea may face a scenario where 40% of its population contracts COVID-19, marking a significant escalation in the nation's epidemic response. This projection is considered a realistic "worst-case scenario" by Cui Bingjun, a professor of infectious disease medication, who emphasizes the need for long-term preparedness. The country has entered an epidemic prevention period following the first coronavirus diagnosis last month. In contrast, China reports an improvement in its situation, with all provinces except Hubei downgrading the severity of the threat and anticipating no new infections by April, suggesting a potential resumption of normal life. Globally, the virus continues to spread, with cases reported in countries like Australia, New Zealand, and the United States, where incompetence in the Department of Health and Human Services may have contributed to the outbreak. The advice given is to remain vigilant about health without succumbing to panic.

Opinions

  • Cui Bingjun views the 40% infection rate as a realistic worst-case scenario for South Korea, urging sustained government preparedness.
  • The Chinese government is optimistic about controlling the virus within its borders, expecting no new infections by April and a return to normalcy.
  • There is a suggestion that the U.S. outbreak may have been exacerbated by the incompetence of the Department of Health and Human Services, as reported by The Washington Post.
  • The global perspective is that the virus will continue to spread, but with careful vigilance and without panic, humanity will eventually overcome the pandemic.

40% of South Koreans May Become Infected with CoVID-19

According to Seoul National University Hospital

Photo by Kseniya Petukhova on Unsplash

South Korea is now in the early stages of preparing for an enormous and nation-wide coronavirus infection that they anticipate will take up to a year to stop.

According to a report from Seoul National University Hospital, up to 40% percent of the country may become infected before this crisis is over.

Cui Bingjun (his Chinese name written as Pinyin), a professor of infectious disease medication, confirmed in an interview that the 40% figure represents a realistic “worst-case scenario” for the country.

He implored the government to be prepared for a long-term response and to expect that things may not improve before the end of the year.

The South Korean official count for confirmed coronavirus cases is sitting at 3,526 people so far. In an interview with the press, Bingjun made an official statement.

Screenshot taken from the Chinese broadcast of the press conference

*(This statement has been translated into English from Chinese subtitles that were displayed over the press conference during its airing in China. The subtitles were translated with the help of Google Translate. The Chinese subtitles were translated from Korean and written by a paid translator).

Below is the statement;

“Since the first diagnosis of the new coronavirus on the 21st of last month, the city (Seoul) has entered into an epidemic prevention period. We sincerely thank the medical staff that have been on the front line of this new infection. We anticipate a surge in the number of patients that will be admitted to hospital in the nation’s capital. This phenomenon will not just disappear because it’s a virus that humans cannot be immunised for and spreads through contact. Judging by the patients already diagnosed with the virus, we anticipate that 40% of the country’s population may become infected. We need to be prepared for this eventuality and prepare appropriate countermeasures.”

Photo by Ciaran O’Brien on Unsplash

Elsewhere

According to the Chinese Government, the situation across China is improving. With the exception of Hubei province (where the infection began), every other province in China has officially downgraded the severity of the threat.

This means that officials are confident that the virus is being brought under control domestically, even going so far as to say that there will be no more new infections by April. The government believes that businesses and schools will be allowed to re-open sometime in early April and that life will continue as normal in China.

As for the rest of the world, the virus may just be getting started. Infections have been reported in nearby countries including Australia and New Zealand, and far off countries including the United States. Although infection in the United States may have been because of the incompetence of the Department of Health and Human Services rather than that of travellers, according to The Washington Post.

But regardless of travel or incompetence, this virus will continue to spread over the next year. The most we can do is continue to be vigilant with our health without panicking. It pays to be smart, but keep control over our anxiety. This virus is unlikely to be beaten this year, but we will win in the end.

Health
Virus
China
South Korea
News
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