Why Bitcoin Hasn’t Yet Landed on the Moon
All the talk of the ETF approvals, Bitcoin is still sluggish, why?

Bitcoin’s surge to $100,000 plus following the approval of Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) seems to have somewhat fizzled out.
Despite the fervor, Bitcoin has yet to make the significant jump, commentators expected it to make.
There lies the rub.
Why have people gotten it wrong, so far?
ETF Approvals and Market Impact
U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs from major financial institutions including BlackRock, Fidelity, Ark Investments/21Shares, Invesco, and VanEck.
This development was hailed as THEE moment for cryptocurrency, opening the doors to major investment and liquidity. The approval of these ETFs was expected to significantly lower the barrier for investors, offering a regulated and straightforward avenue to gain exposure to Bitcoin.
Minus the difficulties and complexities that come with trading Bitcoin.
Since their approval, Bitcoin ETFs have collectively held a substantial amount of Bitcoin, surpassing even the holdings of MicroStrategy, previously the largest publicly traded holder of Bitcoin. As of early February 2024, these ETFs held a combined total of 192,255 Bitcoin, indicating significant institutional interest and investment following the ETF approvals.
BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, in particular, reached over $2 billion, holding nearly 50,000 Bitcoin, showcasing the rapid inflow of capital into these newly approved financial products.
Bitcoin’s price is influenced by a variety of factors as you may or may not know, from market sentiment and investor behavior to regulatory changes and technological advancements. News also plays a role…
The approval of Bitcoin ETFs was expected to be a bullish signal, propelling the price upwards due to increased demand from institutional and retail investors.
Everyone and their dog predicted that the ETFs could draw between $50 billion to $100 billion in the year of their approval alone, highlighting the potential for significant market impact.
However, the actual market reaction to the ETF approvals has been more tapered, shall we say than some bullish forecasts anticipated. While Bitcoin experienced a significant rally leading up to the ETF approvals, climbing 70% since October to over $46,000, it has not sustained a trajectory towards the $100,000 mark.
This can be attributed to several factors.
Market saturation with numerous ETFs launching simultaneously, leading to a fragmented market share and possibly diluting the immediate impact on Bitcoin’s price.
Moreover, the price of Bitcoin is subject to high volatility and speculation. Its value is influenced by sentiment, macroeconomic trends, regulatory news, other news and a whole bunch of other things that most of us don’t yet understand.
These factors can lead to rapid price changes, making it difficult to predict long-term movements based on single events, even ones as significant as the approval of multiple Bitcoin ETFs.
While the approval of Bitcoin ETFs represents a significant milestone, the expected surge to $100,000 has not materialized, yet.
This highlights the complexity of predicting cryptocurrency prices, which are influenced by a number of factors beyond the introduction of new financial products.
The long-term impact of Bitcoin ETFs on the market remains to be seen, as their presence could still lead to increased institutional adoption and investment in the cryptocurrency.
However, the immediate impact has been more muted, underscoring the unpredictable nature of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market.
Thank you for reading
Hi! Nice to meet you! I’m Adam. Currently, I work Full-Time in Finance and am a Part-Time Forex Trader.
My two passions are Learning and Day Trading, so I take every opportunity to talk or write about both.
Want to connect?
I wish you the best in what ever you decide to do next.
