Estimate of the Situation

Ready or Not, Here It Comes

The coming UAP report, no matter what’s in it, will still be a pivotal moment in the history of a longstanding lie. We all have work to do to get to the still out-there truth.

For nearly seventy years the existence of UFOs/UAP has been denied officially by the U.S. Government. Now, not so much.

The dishonorably deliberate deception of the American people concerning unidentified aerial phenomena (UAP) will be shown to have caused a great deal of long-lasting damage to public trust in the credibility of government. The only thing that has kept many people from a profoundly angry response is continued ignorance of what was done to them.

Even now, the good nature of a public used to believing in the honesty and good will of those in charge keeps them from recognizing they have been abused. One consequence of the UAP report will be to bring that naïve acquiescence to an end for many of them. Their trust will be tender for a while. Plus, they are going to have to eat crow with their crazy family and friends who tried to tell them.

Mainstream media is already chipping in with a veritable deluge of reporting about the declassified videos and Top Gun testimonies that created enough pressure for Congress to demand an accounting. When in the hands of the suddenly interested upscale commentariat, the UAP report will launch even more intense waves of coverage.

Talking heads will press their own shiny wax finish onto whatever the report says. As is the case with nearly everything these days, opinions and interpretations will be served up with the (false) abundance of a Las Vegas casino buffet. You’re going to want to read the report carefully yourself to know what is really being said.

You will have to figure out if what you are being told is true, partly true, or just more fibbing. You need to be able to do your own fact checking.

Stuck in the Waiting Room

We are all in the same pause mode, but that can be an opportunity.

Waiting for the UAP report can feel a lot like the Monty Python Jungle Restaurant sketch (Season 3, episode 3). After struggling through a dense tropical jungle, four people find themselves in a clearing filled with bistro tables. The new arrivals are shown to seats and order a light lunch. Other diners in the space are enjoying their meals, but then disappear one by one through a variety of untoward events like native poison darts and rampaging wild animals. After some frightening drumming occurs with heavy rustling in the surrounding bush, the long absent and now disheveled waiter comes out to say, “There will be a short delay.”

Apparently the UAP report to the Senate Intelligence Committee, and thence to us (the people footing the bills), may be submitted as late as early fall and not in June, 2021, as originally anticipated. Our tip of the spear guide to the process Lue Elizondo intimated this possibility several weeks ago in an online interview, so the development is not out of the blue.

The reasons are obvious. A lot of secretive people were called upon to show their cards in public. Such a thing is a shock to their normal business practices. They need time to get feeling back into their hands.

A few led the way (Go, Navy!) while others dragged their feet (looking at you, Air Force). Some spy agencies, no doubt, have been holding out to see what everyone else was going to do (“Well, if you’re sharing that then no need to show what we have.”). And then there is the important matter of where to send the bill for the bother. No pay, no say in the world of military procurement. Every dollar counts when trillions have gone missing.

However, there does appear to be enough genuine momentum that some extra time to get everything together seems reasonable. We’re likely to receive a more substantial product than something cobbled up quickly just to meet the original 180-day deadline. Take a breath. They’re actually doing you a solid by giving a little more time for you to prepare yourself to read the UAP report.

In the Meantime

The significance of the UAP report is hard to overstate.

Some commentators point out the likelihood that there will be little to no mention of historical UAP accounts. This is probably true. Few people say everything they know the first time they speak, even at a UFO convention.

The most reasonable expectation is a general head scratching description of unknown somethings whose vehicle performance goes beyond our known science. Right up front, a note: what is given to us will be read by everyone else on the planet with an interest, so no clues for foreign adversaries like Russia or China. As usual, only the clubby power players will get the inside scoop in a classified appendix. The rest of us will have to make due as best we can.

However, the ultimate importance of the report is in the official recognition that UAPs exist. Denial revoked. This finally trashes the disastrous rigged public relations exercise of the Condon report, the emasculated failure of Project Blue Book, and similar distracting endeavors (looking at you again, Air Force) that have tried for so long to sweep these phenomena off the table of public awareness. The report is very likely going to concentrate on the here and now for the convenience of avoiding discussion of earlier deceits (no having to deal with “But you said!”). Surprisingly, this can work to our advantage. The past is more relevant than ever, and time for a review is welcome.

What we get out of the UAP report will depend in great part on how prepared we are to look at what is presented us. Fortunately, a great many people have stepped up over the decades to provide a significant amount of valuable information. All of that is available for our use in this fateful moment of disclosure. We can honor their struggle to find the truth by comparing the UAP report to what we know from their research. Through their painstaking efforts, we are not going in blindfolded to whatever gets released by the Senate Intelligence Committee.

Ufology Has Not Been In Vain

Pay heed to those who have gone before.

For all the exaggerations, absurd nonsense, and falsehoods that are purulent sores on the corpus of research into UAP, there remains a core continuum of honest and intellectually rigorous contributions by dedicated people who wanted to get to the truth. The courage and perseverance of these reliable and hardworking individuals makes the actions of those who perpetrated the official denial all the more shameful. The UAP report is not going to mention that, but you should keep it in mind as a touchstone for your own understanding.

The refusal of the government to examine unknown phenomena was based on fear, mostly because military services were unwilling to confess in public their powerlessness against a more capable presence. Just being human, in other words, about the Emperor’s new clothes.

People were left on their own to make sense of UAP, if they dared.

Early organizations like the National Investigative Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP) and the Aerial Phenomena Research Organization (APRO) produced important work to challenge the official disavowal of UAP. Both were funded by public membership and finances were thin, making their achievements even more impressive. They did what they could. Make use of that legacy now.

It wasn’t wine and roses to get what we have, either. NICAP was undermined eventually by people involved with the CIA who lauded government policy (never mind the FBI looking over their shoulders). The ranks of APRO cleaved rancorously to form the Mutual UFO Network (MUFON). MUFON still exists and holds a vast archival collection of UAP reports (the show Hanger 1 is based on these records), though they have recently been beset by a series of unfortunate personnel scandals.

Such large scale organizations were the major players, but there were also a host of others who collected UAP information and put out numerous publications. Often issued by well networked individuals or couples, these newsletters are now invaluable ways to prime yourself to judge what will appear in the UAP report.

You can have a lot of enjoyment and profit looking through the accounts left by early researchers. Amazingly, much of this is easily accessible online. One of the great treasure houses of ufology is found at UFO Newsletters from the Archives For the Unexplained. Hosted at the godsend to readers that is Archive.org, there are 10,231 publications in 12 languages (more than half in English) that record, illustrate, and discuss unidentified phenomena all over the planet from 1952 to 2021. Earlier is often more candidly revealing.

UAP have always been global in their manifestations. The U.S. coerced the rest of the world into collaborative denial, a control now being lost. People everywhere still looked into the matter. You can always simply glance at the pictures if you don’t read, for example, Shona, Russian, or Japanese.

Enjoy a browse and see what you have been given to work with by those who came before us with the same desire to know. You’ll likely be amazed and even amused at how diverse and careful much of their work was. A few magazine covers may make you blush, though. Or cringe, depending.

White Knights and Confessionals

These days there seem to be a nearly infinite number of websites and videos concerning UAP.

While many may mean well, some present day media sources perpetuate enthusiasm for spurious claims and unverifiable documents (which are probable hoaxes). Others rise in quality and quantity so far above such lesser examples that they serve as primary research sources in and of themselves. Free to you, today, but definitely at someone’s expense so you got the opportunity (always consider the virtue of the donation button where applicable). Be thankful for the bounty, but choose carefully in your explorations.

Since the 1990s, a website called The Black Vault has been dedicated to publishing documents retrieved from government files largely through Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests. Started and sustained by the indefatigable John Greenewald, Jr., this remarkable product of the power of accumulated effort feels like a Library of Congress for ufology and is best left to describe itself:

“Current Government Document Page Count Within The Black Vault: 2,462,894

You’ve stumbled upon the largest privately run online repository of declassified government documents anywhere in the world. With more than 2 MILLION pages of documents to read, on nearly every government secret imaginable…”

As a voice-over in an old 1960s commercial might say: Suitable for both casual and long term use!

Ironically, one of the more intriguing Internet repositories of UFO related materials is the Central Intelligence Agency. In their Freedom of Information Act Reading Room, a simple search on “UFO” returns hundreds of original period documents. Some of these are publications that the CIA collected from organizations like APRO and NICAP. You may run into a few of the same things seen at Archive.org or in FOIA documents found at The Black Vault (though the redactions can be different). There are, however, nice surprises for those with the patience to look. If you’re interested, the Federal Bureau of Investigation has a similar cabinet of curiosities (here are the FBI files about surveilling the good folks at NICAP; again, search generally on “UFO”).

There are breathtakingly clearheaded official government memoranda dating from the late 1940s and early 1950s that state the reality of UAP and concern over their capabilities from military authorities of the highest ranks. All these documents started out in life as secret, of course, but have now been declassified. Bon appetite.

So, it’s not that they wouldn’t let you know they know UAPs are here, it’s just that they wouldn’t tell you to your face. Up until the UAP report, you had to ask the right way for scraps from the table. Good doggo.

The Right Answer Needs the Right Question

Having spent a little time on background with original documents at sources like these, you will be able to tell a lot about what is said (or not) in the UAP report.

From where we sit with the available research, we can assess the UAP report with the following in mind:

Since the 1940s, UAPs have been a constant part of military awareness. The national security issue is not remotely new.

Due likely to recommendations from a think tank called the Brookings Institution, a decision was taken to turn the UAP subject to ridicule and shame against those who considered the phenomena worth investigating.

Out of convenience, the lie became institutionalized and perpetuated at the broadest cultural scales. The scope of manipulation necessary to maintain the lie may be as unfathomable as it was successful, and probably not so easily given up.

The execution of the lie covered up the global presence of UAP, including their apparent strong interest in nuclear weapons and radioactive production facilities since the early 1940s (Thank you, Robert Hastings, for the heavy lifting in UFOs and Nukes).

Abductions and animal mutilations are apparently a thing. National security should include our safety, not just authoritarian face-saving in the unwanted presence of the unknown.

National security is a legitimate motivation for UAP research to be done at the highest levels of science. Why hasn’t this happened, or if it has in secret, why wasn’t the scientific result shared?

You don’t have to (and shouldn’t) classify a legitimate discussion of risk to the entire human race. With fairness there is in fact an individual right to know, however inconvenient to the performance reviews of some authorities.

Or, possibly, is that just where we are finally at? Here, in the present moment, is this the actuality of disclosure and we are experiencing it in real time along with the secret keepers? The subject is nothing less than an existential examination of human beings no longer standing as the supreme evolutionary product of all intelligence in the universe. Surprise. There are smart people at work on the UAP report. They are going to pick their words very carefully. Let them not punt. Be frosty.

The traditional money is on getting only the bare minimum of information necessary to meet the requirement of the S.3905 Authorization Bill. From the way murmurs are going, the result will still be far more than has ever been acknowledged before about UAP. Perhaps the masters of the human universe would like a break from at least a little of the secrecy. Maybe? The UAP report is kind of a show of hands.

The national security issue that triggered the UAP report is very far from over. Only now, under pressures applied by valiant people, are we about to get a look inside the perimeter of longstanding denial. Head in the sand no more for everybody.

There is a solid body of UAP information unearthed previously, often at great personal sacrifice, that can be used to deepen your judgment about what you are going to be told. Take even a quick look behind us in advance, and you’ll have a better means to evaluate the UAP report. In places your historical review is an E-ticket ride, too, so there’s that. Fact checking should be fun!

We are not alone here. We never were. We can freshly talk about it thanks to events leading up to the UAP report. Get your own insights ready to critique what is about to be revealed. These people have demonstrated they need a little help with the truth. The right questions must be asked and answered. That’s going to take a while, and we are going to need to talk freely about things. Maybe Democracy will have vital purpose again, and not remain a wasteland wracked by shallow but intense political bickering between self-serving special interest factions over how little of the pie the rest of us are supposed to get.

We have some big time decisions to make as a species. All of us should participate. Facts can be handy in making a good choice.

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