Turkey’s Three-way Talk Is Putin’s Massive Gameplan of It All.
Putin is already winning. Ukraine is his (not Russia’s).
The first time I watched an orangish sky shoots happening in Ukraine, it was scary yet I thought this “fight” will last and end within a day. No, it didn’t. Though this won’t last forever either, the effects of it will last forever.
In hindsight, this is a world war we have all been scared of since forever.
War is still murder―serial murder, with a political agenda covered under a few soft speeches.
Russia is planning a “special operation,” they said. But it was in essence a full-scale invasion. Politicians hide agendas behind cute words to make it feel safe.
If you let your people die, you don’t care about them. Russians are dying. If you say Ukraine is part of you, they dying means your people dying.
I have always believed if you don’t have love at heart, you can’t lead a tribe at large.
Two things are apparent by everything that’s going on right now:
- Ukraine was brave enough to jump into the fight but shocked that they have to fight it (and do it alone).
- Putin is shocked that his war is not working and Ukraine is still fighting (despite being alone).
I say ‘alone’ because we are not helping. We could but we are not. Turkey seems to have stepped forward but they didn’t.
Washington Institution states: “Presenting itself as a neutral actor or a fair mediator between two sides is Ankara’s [Turkey’s] usual playbook at the onset of almost every regional crisis over the past decade. But, as the crisis escalates and blocs form, Turkish decision-makers have a poor record of maintaining this restrained stance.”
The flaw with Putin is he is using force and force never wins. “Love is a force,” we often say. Love is not force, it’s a state, it’s a space. Call it space because it requires thought and silence. Step back, think about how you can solve a dispute without a fight. That’s love. That peace. That gets peace.
Love wins and lingers. Fights fail and flounder.
World wars usually start from the European regions (according to history) because nobody else dares to start and nobody else can start. Russia is partly European but mostly Asian, still, Russia starting the war means it’s gonna be a world war.
Putin is playing the mind game…only.
A nuclear weapon is just a weapon to scare.
What is NATO!? NATO is a committed military alliance (unity of a few countries for mutual benefit) in the European reign. Any European country can join here, however, they should meet a few minimum requirements. Ukraine meets it all but Russia doesn’t want it to join NATO …because Russia (as it’s mostly Asian region) isn’t in NATO and Putin has always been considering Ukraine a part of Russia.
“We are not just close neighbours, we are one nation.” ― Putin in a speech, March 18, 2004
Putin’s problem is self-delusion: He doesn’t want a part of him to join NATO (a separate military force) when his own country has a greater military resource already.
“Ukraine has expressed a desire to join NATO but has never been formally admitted.” ― Source
Why does Ukraine want to join NATO? They were always scared. It’s a highly resourceful country, still, any country part of the Soviet Union is always prone to an attack. Ukraine’s military base is strong but strong is not enough. Mutual power always feels safe.
Now they are scared again, on a real level. They feel threatened. They need peace. They need security. They need a guarantee of it. Right now they are fighting for it, and that’s the reason they wanted to get into NATO always.
And Putin is hitting Ukrainians where it hurts most — taking away their peace… and security.
The table-round three-way talk with Turkey on Thursday is another hammer set out by Russia to hit where it hurts most and give Ukraine an illusion of what they need most right now: Hope.
Putin is going every way he can.
“Looking and acting like you don’t give a fuck puts you in a pretty powerful position,” Medium writer Jessica Wildfire concludes this. That’s Putin’s mind game.
To sit with Turkey and Ukraine, Russia demands Ukraine “to forgo NATO and EU membership (and joining request) and rubber-stamping the handover of Crimea [a region in Russia & Ukraine] and the occupied regions of eastern Ukraine” and President Zelensky nodded a yes to “abolish the NATO membership,” which was the main reason of Russia’s invade in the first place.
A person who understands patterns is massively powerful. Based on facts and patterns, Ukraine always loved peaceful attempts so they are ready to sit with Turkey and Russia even if they won’t give onto the demands they got from Russia. If they would, they would have already. This is not the fight for independence. This is the fight for identity and rights. On a fundamental level, both are different. The latter matters more.
Ukraine has always bear injustice and tragedy like WW1, the Holodomor, the holocaust, WW2, the great purge terror, the Chernobyl disaster, the Occupation of Crimea, the occupation of their Eastern states with unbelievable consequences: in total the death of 12 million people, turning 10 million people homeless and more than 3 million victims. This time they are speaking up and standing upright even if their spine hurts, their hearts burn, or their eyes are sore.
On a deeper scale, Putin’s massive game plan is to show and prove to the world the dependence of us on Russia — to increase the value of Russia. Russian oil, Russian gas, Russian exports.
Many people have missed the point.
I have seen everyone worried about Russia running out of capital. Many people have missed the point. War requires capital―massive capital―and Ukraine (slightly small) country will soon die out of it. $48 million in donation isn’t enough to win the war against Putin. Putin is already winning. It’s a billion-dollar game.
When a country can’t sustain the economy or bear the loss of lives any longer, surrendering is the only way out.
But the donations help. Appreciated.
Putin is making Ukraine a Syria: Bombing civilians to burn it all. How can you kill the civilians and not just keep it limited to military infrastructure attacks? When a war reaches the civilians, it’s a personal attack. Putin doesn’t want Ukraine, he wants power and he wants to show his power. He always threatened he is going to bombard Ukraine. Finally he did. Finally he is doing.
Right now the invasion is not just a threat. It’s a real human disaster (and possibly an earthy disaster once nuclear weapons are used).
Ukraine civilians are fighting for Ukraine. Russian civilians are fighting against Russia. When civilians fight, you can’t win. Because civilians fight with heart and you fight with force.
This is a fight between Putin and the World. Yet Putin will eventually win. Putin will get Ukraine. But if you break hearts, break families, and break lives, you never won.
It’s a world war because you are affected. You aren’t fighting but soon some will start starving. The prices are rising. And to starve is worse than to fight. You are fighting with a harsh tragedy you didn’t wish for, expect, or deserve.
When will this war come to an end? Jared A. Brock estimates “Until the last Ukrainian is done fighting.”
He feels right.
