The Supreme Court is About to Determine Trump’s Fate.

Summary

The Supreme Court is set to decide on Donald Trump's eligibility to appear on Colorado's Republican primary ballot, a decision that could significantly impact the 2024 presidential election.

Abstract

The Supreme Court has agreed to hear a case regarding former President Donald J. Trump's inclusion on the Colorado Republican primary ballot. This development comes after Colorado's top court ruled that Trump's involvement in the January 6th insurrection disqualified him from the ballot. The Supreme Court's decision is expected to be broad, potentially affecting not only his primary eligibility but also his ability to run in the general election and hold office. The court's involvement in the election process is reminiscent of the Bush v. Gore case in 2000. The author suggests that the current conservative-leaning Supreme Court is unlikely to exclude Trump from the ballot, which would lead to Trump claiming vindication and could pose challenges for his primary opponents.

Opinions

The author implies that Trump's legal team is accustomed to managing a series of issues during his presidential campaigns.
Trump's base may view his legal challenges positively, reinforcing the narrative that he is a victim or underdog.
The Supreme Court, with its conservative majority influenced by Trump's own appointments, is seen as unlikely to prevent Trump from appearing on the ballot.
The author anticipates that the Supreme Court's justification for their decision will be noteworthy and closely scrutinized.
There is an expectation that Trump will claim vindication regardless of the Supreme Court's decision.
The author notes the difficult position Trump's primary opponents are in, having to navigate the situation carefully without clear benefit from either outcome.

The highest court in the land is taking up Trump’s Colorado Ballot case.

It really wouldn’t be a Donald Trump presidential campaign if issue after issue wasn’t popping up, right? what would an election cycle be this day in age for the Republican Party if there wasn’t fire after fire for the frontrunner’s team to put out. Of course, it’s gone beyond his own personal legal issues now, and the four indictments he’s facing. As we all know, the state of Colorado has determined that Trump will be left off of their ballot due to his involvement in the January 6th insurrection that led to multiple deaths and his VP quite literally running for his life.

But, Trump hasn’t seemed to be sweating the drama in Colorado has he? Frankly, that’s probably due to a number of reasons, not the least of which that he and his team both know that his base relishes in the idea that he’s somehow a victim or underdog. They eat it up, and I’m sure they’ve come to the rationalization that this sort of thing helps them in the long run.

And then there’s the Supreme Court.

The Supreme Court that has been built after years of the right wing carefully stacking the courts in their favor, and Trump himself even picking three of the nine judges currently sitting on the bench.

Now, those Justices are about to determine Trump’s fate.

Adam Liptak with The New York Times writes:

“The Supreme Court agreed on Friday to decide whether former President Donald J. Trump is eligible for Colorado’s Republican primary ballot, thrusting the justices into a pivotal role that could alter the course of this year’s presidential election.

The sweep of the court’s ruling is likely to be broad. It will probably resolve not only whether Mr. Trump may appear on the Colorado primary ballot after the state’s top court declared that he had engaged in insurrection in his efforts to subvert the 2020 election, but it will most likely also determine his eligibility to run in the general election and to hold office at all.

Not since Bush v. Gore, the 2000 decision that handed the presidency to George W. Bush, has the Supreme Court taken such a central role in an election for the nation’s highest office…”

I think we all know how this is going to go.

There is absolutely no way that the Supreme Court in its current state is going to allow Donald Trump to be left off the ballot. At this point, it just feels inevitable, and Donald Trump will once again be insisting that he has been vindicated.

Frankly, it’s going to be interesting to see how his primary opponents navigate this situation. Once again, it feels as though they’ve been put into an impossible situation where they’re forced to toe the line and either outcome doesn’t feel as though it will work out in their favor.

Personally, I’m just looking forward to seeing how the Supreme Court justifies their decision

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