avatarDaniele Quero, PhD

Summary

The article discusses the "Concorde Effect," a term derived from the supersonic passenger airliner project that exemplifies the sunk-cost bias, and its application to everyday life decisions.

Abstract

The Concorde Effect, originating from the costly and ultimately financially unsuccessful supersonic airliner project, serves as a metaphor for the broader concept of sunk-cost bias. This bias is the tendency to continue an investment—be it in money, time, or emotion—past the point of rationality, due to the investment already made. The article illustrates how this phenomenon extends beyond financial decisions to personal life choices, such as persisting in a career or relationship that no longer brings satisfaction or fulfillment. It recounts the personal story of a nuclear physicist who, after a decade in academia, realized he was forcing himself to continue on a path that was no longer right for him, despite the significant time and effort already invested. The author emphasizes the importance of recognizing when to let go and pivot directions, even when it means leaving behind years of commitment, to avoid increasing one's losses and to pursue personal happiness and satisfaction.

Opinions

  • The author suggests that the Concorde Effect is a common human behavior where individuals continue to invest in something despite evidence suggesting it may be unwise to do so.
  • It is implied that people often ignore or deny their own unhappiness or dissatisfaction to avoid acknowledging that their investment may have been in vain.
  • The article conveys that there is a societal expectation or personal pressure to continue on a chosen path due to the fear of being seen as a failure or a disappointment.
  • The author shares a personal belief that admitting to living under the Concorde Effect and having the courage to change course is a significant step towards personal freedom and well-being.
  • The article subtly criticizes the idea of sticking with something solely because of past investments, advocating instead for the pursuit of activities that align with current values and aspirations.

The Concorde Effect in Everyday Life

Do we have to go on till in the end in everything?

Photo from Concorde — Wikipedia

France and UK governments in the 1960s joined forces on the project of a supersonic passenger airliner: a plane for civilian flights capable of overcoming the speed of sound.

Nonetheless, it is famous (or should I say INfamous) for its huge costs, increasing year by year from a starting estimate of £70 million to an actual +£2000 million (in the 1970s, today it would have been billions). The project was carried out but was never able to produce adequate incomes.

It was affected by all sorts of problems both before and after release. It could fly at supersonic speed, but only over oceans because the sonic boom would have been dangerous for populated areas. It even had overheating problems depending on the colour of the paint, namely the blue from Pepsi sponsor painting. But the investors kept investing, in fear of losing what they already put in the project. They just kept increasing losses.

From this example, the term “Concord Effect” was born, also known as “Sunk-Cost Bias”.

These terms are used to describe wrong financial behaviours, such as not knowing when to quit an investment before it’s too late:

“we’ve spent so much already, we might as well carry on”.

But, interestingly enough, it can be applied also to everyday life by just switching the concept of money to energy, time, feelings. Every day we invest in what we do — an activity, a job, a relationship. We put effort into them and very often we keep doing so beyond the limits of reason. We do this. No matter what, we keep watching a TV series on the Nth season wandering why, as well as we keep believing in an ill romance.

History has to serve as teaching. Think of the Concorde Programme losses. The simple fact you invested so much till now is not a valuable reason to continue investing.

I won’t bring you love and friendship loss examples, because I’m sure you can think of one of your own. I will bring you my personal experience, which hurt me more than any broken heart I experienced in my life.

Photo from Kansas Ranked 15th in Economic Freedom — Kansas Policy Institute

I am a nuclear physicist. I loved (and still love) physics since the first time I met the concept of measurement and error.

I kept believing it was my way, physics. I overcame all sorts of adversities and difficulties, and I am proud of myself for making it. I graduated bachelor, then master, then started my journey as a PhD fellow.

10 years in the academic world. Then, one day, I started noticing some little things. They seemed to be off, strange. I was arguing with my girlfriend a lot more than usual, or necessary. I was bored, I was anxious (never have been). I was worried about something all the time. I felt a boulder on my chest all the way from home to the laboratory. I felt unhappy. Unsatisfied.

But the most terrifying thing was realizing that those feelings weren’t new, at all. I was just denying them since who-knows-when.

I was depleted in energy and motivation but decided to finish the PhD since it would have taken just a few more months. The hardest few months of my life.

I felt so wrong. I felt as I was throwing away 10 years of efforts and sacrifices as well as results and gratifications. I felt like a failure and a disappointment. To my parents, to me.

I went through therapy to understand what was wrong with me, just to realize that I was wronging myself, by forcing myself to live a life not suited for me anymore, for many reasons.

I forced myself into investing time, energy, effort (and also money) into a career that was not mine anymore. It took courage to admit I was living a Concorde effect time of my life. And it took even more to decide to step back, regroup, start over again having constantly the sword of Damocles of those 10 years I was throwing away. But I didn’t want to increase my loss anymore.

So here I am. Breathing, working and living much lighter. Trying to follow my dreams. Finally feeling free.

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Life
Decision Making
Freedom
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