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Abstract

ay this: the Kremlin’s talking heads have been all over this “attack.” Ramzan Kadyrov has been making insane comments about how “the enemy, unprovoked, is attacking Russia.”Unprovoked, wow.<blockquote id="31c5">President Vladimir Putin has said Russia was hit by a “terrorist attack” in the southern Bryansk region bordering Ukraine and vowed to crush what he said was a Ukrainian sabotage group that had fired at civilians.</blockquote><blockquote id="bc1b">Moscow said the Ukrainians had crossed the frontier, fired on a car killing one person and wounding a child, and held hostages in a shop (<a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/3/2/russia-accuses-ukraine-of-cross-border-attack-in-bryansk">Russia Accuses Ukraine of Cross-Border Attack</a>).</blockquote>In that corner of Russia, after Bryansk, there is nothing but forests and roads. That nothingness leads to Ukraine and Belarus. While Russia doesn’t need any provocation to attack Ukraine, an attack could further the narrative that the security of Belarus is being threatened. To preserve the security of Belarus, Russia’s “good friend,” Moscow might take such opportunities as these “attacks” to occupy the region with troops.With Lukashenko in China, such threats offer the perfect excuse for Moscow to send in troops to “protect” Belarus. There would be nothing that Lukashenko could do especially given the possibility that China might be somehow involved.All Lukashenko could do is bless the arrival of Russian forces, like say, 10,000 or 20,000 Rosgvardia troops, from Putin’s private army. Their role would be not so much to protect Belarus from the imagined external threat but to protect Putin an

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d Russia from any resistance to the takeover of Belarus.<blockquote id="558c">Putin, in a televised address, said: “They won’t achieve anything. We will crush them”.</blockquote><blockquote id="f47c">The group was made up of the kind of people who wanted to rob Russia of its history and language, he said (Russia Accuses Ukraine of Cross-Border Attack).</blockquote>This comment fully aligns with Putin’s push lately for the dismemberment narrative. While his most loyal supporters will believe the dismemberment of Russia story without questioning him, the more skeptical will struggle to buy into that one. If suddenly there is an increase in cross-border attacks in which innocent Russians are getting killed, then more of the traditionally skeptical can be won over.Putin, not one who ever worries about collateral damage when it comes to his pursuit of eternal power, would have no qualms about ordering his special forces to kill Russian civilians and Russian troops. This is the guy who oversaw the bombing of apartment buildings in Russia, Russian airplanes and trains, the KLM flight over Ukraine, and so much more including the North Stream pipelines, the death of a handful of “nobody” Russians at the border means zero to him.I have a feeling that we will start seeing a lot more of these attacks in the coming months to both further add credence to his narrative and soften up the soil for the planting of the Russian flag in Minsk.If you look closely at the photo above, you can see that Lukashenko looks like a deer in headlights. He understands what is going on and he also understands that he can’t do a damn thing but smile and wave.</article></body>

Lukashenko Goes to China and Suddenly Belarus Is Threatened

The cross-border attack by ‘pro-Kyiv Russians’ is conveniently close to the Belarus border

Alexander Lukashenko doesn’t travel that often out of his fiefdom but on occasion, he does leave so suspecting that the attack on the border city of Bryansk took place to take advantage of his absence would be, well, possibly inaccurate — but not completely off.

The Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) — a grouping of Russians fighting for Ukraine against Moscow’s ongoing invasion of the country — on Thursday claimed to have undertaken a cross-border operation in which they attacked Russian military units.

Russian media claimed Thursday that a group of Ukrainian “saboteurs” had crossed the border into Bryansk Oblast, which borders Ukraine and Belarus, engaging in firefights, taking several people hostage, and inflicting civilian casualties (What Is the Russian Volunteer Corps).

There has been some speculation that the forces that assaulted across the border are not really the Russian Volunteer Corps, a group of Russian emigres who formed a fighting unit last summer to takethe war to Russia to end the fascist occupation of the country, but Kremlin-backed forces undertaking a false flag event.

As a person who is never open to any kind of conspiracy theory, I will say this: the Kremlin’s talking heads have been all over this “attack.” Ramzan Kadyrov has been making insane comments about how “the enemy, unprovoked, is attacking Russia.”

Unprovoked, wow.

President Vladimir Putin has said Russia was hit by a “terrorist attack” in the southern Bryansk region bordering Ukraine and vowed to crush what he said was a Ukrainian sabotage group that had fired at civilians.

Moscow said the Ukrainians had crossed the frontier, fired on a car killing one person and wounding a child, and held hostages in a shop (Russia Accuses Ukraine of Cross-Border Attack).

In that corner of Russia, after Bryansk, there is nothing but forests and roads. That nothingness leads to Ukraine and Belarus. While Russia doesn’t need any provocation to attack Ukraine, an attack could further the narrative that the security of Belarus is being threatened. To preserve the security of Belarus, Russia’s “good friend,” Moscow might take such opportunities as these “attacks” to occupy the region with troops.

With Lukashenko in China, such threats offer the perfect excuse for Moscow to send in troops to “protect” Belarus. There would be nothing that Lukashenko could do especially given the possibility that China might be somehow involved.

All Lukashenko could do is bless the arrival of Russian forces, like say, 10,000 or 20,000 Rosgvardia troops, from Putin’s private army. Their role would be not so much to protect Belarus from the imagined external threat but to protect Putin and Russia from any resistance to the takeover of Belarus.

Putin, in a televised address, said: “They won’t achieve anything. We will crush them”.

The group was made up of the kind of people who wanted to rob Russia of its history and language, he said (Russia Accuses Ukraine of Cross-Border Attack).

This comment fully aligns with Putin’s push lately for the dismemberment narrative. While his most loyal supporters will believe the dismemberment of Russia story without questioning him, the more skeptical will struggle to buy into that one. If suddenly there is an increase in cross-border attacks in which innocent Russians are getting killed, then more of the traditionally skeptical can be won over.

Putin, not one who ever worries about collateral damage when it comes to his pursuit of eternal power, would have no qualms about ordering his special forces to kill Russian civilians and Russian troops. This is the guy who oversaw the bombing of apartment buildings in Russia, Russian airplanes and trains, the KLM flight over Ukraine, and so much more including the North Stream pipelines, the death of a handful of “nobody” Russians at the border means zero to him.

I have a feeling that we will start seeing a lot more of these attacks in the coming months to both further add credence to his narrative and soften up the soil for the planting of the Russian flag in Minsk.

If you look closely at the photo above, you can see that Lukashenko looks like a deer in headlights. He understands what is going on and he also understands that he can’t do a damn thing but smile and wave.