Israel will go to war with Egypt if it doesn’t end it’s plan of pushing Palestinians into the Sinai.
Egyptian generals won’t allow it.
The Egyptians are pissed and by the Egyptians I don’t mean Sisi, I mean the generals, officers and literally everyone in Egypt and the Egyptian Security Apparatus, who Sisi is trying to calm down so that they don’t coup his ass in front of the Pyramids.
They are pissed, because both Israel and America are putting pressure on them to accept the Palestinians into the Sinai Desert.
But they don’t want that. Because it is tantamount to endangering Egypt’s sovereign borders and plus the Palestinians don’t want to go there, they’re being pushed there. I don’t think western audiences understand the fact that Egypt will not tolerate millions being pushed in the Sinai and at the same time they’ll tolerate a genocide happening on their borders.
This is one of the reasons Egypts intelligence is covertly supporting Hamas. October the 7th, took the Egyptians out of their pacifism from Camp David and it looks like they’re back to the drawing board.
Now what can Sisi do in this situation to prevent being ousted. He’s a lone Hyena surrounded by wolves around him.
His best bet is to join Qatar and mediate peace talks with them to bring about an end to the war. The peace talks will allow the Palestinian Authority to be reformed and control Gaza; it was an initial plan that was drafted and backed by all Gulf States, except UAE.
But that was when they didn’t see Israel retreating from Gaza. When Israel retreated from Gaza and the way they were pounded in the north changed perceptions of the royals in Riyadh and subsequently made them take a step and reassess the whole situation.
Mohammed Bin Salman, the crown prince of Saudi Arabia is now re-thinking his strategy on normalization and it hangs on the balance on whether Israel invades the Rafah crossing or not.
You see something has changed within the last 48 hours after Saudi met with Egyptian generals. Then the Saudis met with Pakistani and Algerian generals. Their posturing is completely different than what it was previously.
Now they’re calling for a palestinian state to be established with borders that existed in 1967 with East Jerusalem as the capital and that’s because the Egyptians have realized that Israel cannot be stopped nor can it be reigned in by America, it’s gone rogue and diplomacy will not stop it.
It will take Rafah and it will try to build another crossing to push the Palestinians in the Sinai Desert and the fact that Blinken has landed in Egypt and wasn’t received by any Egyptian Official is telling me that they’re probably not going to listen to the US efforts to calm the situation down.
Right now, this prospect is thrilling two more countries. Turkey and Iran. For Iran it means that once Egypt moves then so do the rest of the Gulf states and for Turkiye it gives them the opportunity to score a PR win.
Erdogan much prefers to weaponize Egypt and send them in Gaza guns blazing instead of putting Turkish boots on the ground. It works out excellently for him.
Right now Israel is on its way to commit a blunder, which reinforces the fact that there are no sane leaders leading the country and the country is on a warpath trying to destroy everything.
But it doesn’t understand the complexities of the region it lives in and that will be it’s own undoing.
What do you think?