avatarJessica Doosan

Summary

The article analyzes the ICP Coin, suggesting its potential for a 20x increase in value during a bull market due to its unique architecture, ecosystem growth, and strategic tokenomics, despite initial centralization concerns.

Abstract

The ICP Coin, initially launched with a high price point of 2800, has seen a significant drop to 6, leading many to label it a "dead coin." However, the article delves into the project's underlying structure, highlighting its complex network design, the DFINITY Foundation's role, and the balance between centralization and performance. The ICP blockchain operates with a Network Nervous System (NNS) and subnets that can execute thousands of smart contracts, though the TPS varies based on the subnet's load. The article discusses ICP's main use cases in gaming and social media, where the speed and scalability of its blockchain are advantageous, despite the current trend towards decentralization. The tokenomics of ICP involve a high circulating supply and a complex system where ICP tokens are used for purchasing Cycles for smart contract execution, trading within the ecosystem, and participating in governance through Neurons. The article also touches on the project's performance metrics, data center distribution, and the growth of its ecosystem with over 100 projects. While acknowledging the challenges of token inflation and the need for developer focus to reduce circulation, the author predicts a potential price surge for ICP, with a market cap growth of up to 20x in a bull market.

Opinions

  • The author believes that ICP Coin's current market position does not reflect its potential, given its innovative approach to blockchain architecture.
  • There is an opinion that the centralization of ICP's network, with nodes primarily in the USA and Switzerland, is a necessary compromise for achieving high transaction throughput and performance.
  • The article suggests that ICP's ecosystem, with projects in social media, gaming, and other areas, could drive future demand and value for the token.
  • The author expresses that the complexity of ICP's system, including its tokenomics and governance model, could be a barrier to understanding for the average investor but also a feature that sets it apart from other cryptocurrencies.
  • The prediction of a 20x increase in ICP's value is contingent upon broader market trends and the assumption that developers will continue to utilize ICP's blockchain for projects, leading to token burn and potential deflationary pressure.
  • The author emphasizes that while ICP currently faces inflationary challenges, strategic development and network growth could lead to a more favorable investment outlook.

ICP Coin’s Bright Outlook: 20x Possible in Bull Run!

Node | Product | TPS | Web3 | Growth | Supply | Network

Created In Canva

In the crypto market, ICP Coin is lying in a corner without any brotherhood. When this coin first came up in the market, everyone was surprised to see its price. Everyone was curious about it after seeing the $2800 price tag. However, this coin is currently selling for $6, and many people have labeled it as a “dead coin.”

To figure out whether or not this coin is still alive, I started investigating, and ultimately, after gathering all of the information, I decided to share it with you through this article.

Our Questions?

  • What is the ICP blockchain?
  • What’s new in the ICP?
  • What kind of innovation are they doing?
  • How does it operate?
  • What is the state of the ecosystem and growth?

DFINITY

ICP is a project of The DFINITY Foundation. The layout of this project is slightly different since they made certain compromises in the decentralized part. Because of the blockchain trilemma (Security, Scalability, Decentralization). the problem has yet to be solved, ICP has made some compromises.

At first look, ICP is similar to Solana, Sui, and Aptos.

Complex

The architecture of ICP’s project is so complicated that ordinary people would struggle to understand it. I’m trying my best to explain everything to you in terms you can understand, as much as I’ve been able to.

Photo by Shubham Dhage on Unsplash

Blockchain

Their architecture’s top layer is NNS. NNS stands for Network Nervous System, and layers may be discovered inside this NNS. These layers have subnets with blockchain-like architecture. This subnet is blockchain independent, with nodes running in the data center.

All the nodes inside the internal computer are running on the Data Center. Their first participant is the Data Center, which stores all copies of the blockchain’s Node.

There are different types of subnets. If a smart contract is to be executed, the type of a subnet must be chosen. You can run a smart contract by selecting one of the subnets among the available ones.

Node — TPS

Thousands of smart contracts can be executed on a subnet, such as there are 10000, 20000, or 80000 smart contracts in 1 subnet. The subnet with the highest load has the lowest TPS.

I found a subnet that had more than 80000 active smart contracts, however, its TPS was just 38. It is the data center’s responsibility to keep all of these nodes running.

A complicated layout was developed in order to create a fast and scalable blockchain network. Because data centers operate their nodes, there is more centralized control, such as transaction validation and block creation. This means that certain data centers have control over it.

FUD was spread when the ICP coin was released into the market because it was the topic of centralization.

Centralization or decentralization is not currently being discussed. There are some use cases where transaction speed is more important, and centralization makes no difference.

Created In Canva

They have 2 Main Usage:

  1. Gaming
  2. Social Media

Every gaming project focuses on the performance of their game, they do not care about what type of control system they use either centralized or decentralized. If they get performance, they will switch to blockchain; if they do not get performance, they will never move to blockchain.

Similarly, if there is no alternative to communication in social media applications, in such a case there is no use in making anything in the blockchain.

The more decentralized the blockchain is now, the slower it is. This problem will be resolved in time, however, for the time being, it remains as it is. Furthermore, the transaction cost in Ethereum is high.

In this situation, the ICP project is preferable for specific use cases.

Tokonomics

The Tokonomics of ICP are also made in a slightly complex way.

It has a total supply of 498.35 million and a circulating supply of 435 million. As we can see, about 90% of the supply has been unloaded on the market.

ICP Token is Used in 3 Places…

1. Developer Side

Cycles is a stablecoin that must be used by developers in order to set up and execute smart contracts in a subnet. This Cycles can only be purchased using ICP tokens. After burning ICP tokens, cycles are available.

In certain ways, Cycles are included in the development fee.

2. Trade

You may use ICP to purchase NFTs, participate in Defi, and their tokens are also used to run the network.

3. Neurons

Neurons is a governance token. You can lock ICP for neurons. To participate in NNS’s DAO, ICP tokens must be locked for a period of 8 months to 5 years. The longer the ICP is locked, the more rewards you will receive.

Network Management

ICP tokens are getting locked inside NNS, due to which rewards are being distributed and these rewards are coming from new supply. This new supply unloading is creating an inflationary token.

Voting rewards will unlock 10% of the supply every year and gradually it will be reduced to 5%.

Node operators also get rewards from the new 10% supply.

For the future of ICP, the more developers make canisters using their Subnet, the sooner the circulation of ICP tokens will decrease because tokens burn in it. This will create an environment like Ethereum but only if the token inflation will be under control.

It is impossible to achieve token deflation unless developers focus heavily on ICP. This is a problem for the investment value.

Performance

You can see the performance of ICP by going to Explorer.

It has a Transaction Throughput of 5016.9 tps which is the highest. Don’t be shocked by seeing this tps number because here every subnet has a different TPS. TPS depends on how many smart contracts are hosted in the subnet.

Source: Screenshot of ICp Dashboard — Subnet

There are 81668 canisters on 1 subnet, in which the transaction speed is only 31.23 TX/s.

Source: Screenshot of ICp Dashboard — Subnet

There are 9026 canisters on the second subnet, in which the transaction speed is only Transactions 284.00 TX/s.

This shows that not everything is on the ICP’s blockchain. Icp is the fundamental pillar under which sharding has been accomplished via the subnet. Small blockchain networks have been formed within ICP’s structures, and their work is being done via a smart contract hoster. The TPS of all these smart contract hosters is different.

Data Center

Most of the node operators of ICP are from USA and Switzerland. The USA has 430 node operators with 19 data centers and Switzerland has 171 node operators with 8 data centers.

Overall

  • Data Centers — 44
  • Node Providers — 82
  • Subnets — 36
  • Active Nodes — 549
Created In Canva

Ecosystem

There is a total of 112 projects on ICP, out of which 22 are SocialFi and 23 are NFTs projects. Apart from this, the rest of the projects are Games and Wallets.

  • DSCVR — Web3 social media platform
  • Distrikt — Web3 social media platform
  • Kinic — Web3 search engine
  • OpenChat — Messaging Service
  • Cubetopia — Web3 Game
  • Dmail — Web3 e-mail Service

On ICp, several Unique projects have been developed. ICP’s ecosystem project tokens have not yet been released. Keep an eye on their tokens in the future; you may get an airdrop.

Price Prediction

The market cap of ICP is around 2.5 billion. Growth up to 20x in terms of market cap is possible in a bull market.

Screenshot of Tradingview — 1W Chart

Currently, the ICP price is trading inside a parallel downline. A break of this pattern could see a major rally towards $10. After this, if the market performs well then the level of $22 can also be seen to be achieved. To hold for a long time, you can think of accumulating the ICP in this range.

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Disclaimer

This is not Financial Advice. This article is meant only for educational purposes. I am just sharing my thoughts and analysis based on my many years of experience.

Thank You for Reading…

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