avatarPeter Miller

Summary

The provided content discusses the analysis of mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania before and after the election, suggesting that Biden's victory was not due to fraudulent ballots.

Abstract

The text outlines a pre-election prediction and post-election analysis of mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania, indicating that Biden had a significant lead in absentee ballots before election day. It cites specific numbers from the Elect Project's archived and final reports, noting that while both candidates gained additional votes after election day, Biden's net gain was relatively small, and his overall lead remained substantial. The author concludes that even without considering ballots returned on election day, Biden would have won by a significant margin, dismissing the notion that the election results were skewed by fabricated mail-in ballots for Biden.

Opinions

  • The author believes that Biden's lead was evident even before all votes were counted.
  • There is skepticism about the claim that fraudulent ballots could have altered the election outcome in Biden's favor.
  • The author suggests that the increase in Biden's lead post-election day was due to legitimate ballots returned on or before election day, not due to fabricated votes.
  • The analysis implies that the final vote count was consistent with the expected trend based on early mail-in ballots.
  • The text acknowledges that the analysis is not exhaustive, as it does not account for how independent voters swayed the results.
  • The author's tone indicates a conviction that the election results were credible and not significantly affected by fraud.

Even before the election was held, we knew that there were going to be a lot more Democrat mail-in ballots than Republican. Like, here are the Pennsylvania numbers, from a webpage archived the day before the election:

https://web.archive.org/web/20201103061959/https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

So Biden was already up by 1.1 million returned absentee ballots by election day.

Here are the final numbers.

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/PA.html

I guess it went up because ballots were returned on election day (or because there's some lag in the reporting). Biden got 106k more and Trump got 68k more:

In theory, I guess someone could have printed those final ballots. But Biden only gained a net of 38k votes. And his overall lead is 81k.

Even if you only used the mail-in ballots from the day before the election, Biden would still win by 43k.

Not an exact analysis, because you need to know how independents voted. But, makes it clear to me that it wasn't just somebody printing fake Biden ballots until he won.

Does that seem convincing to you?

Recommended from ReadMedium
avatarOssiana Tepfenhart
Korea’s Shocking Incel Problem Is So Much Worse Than You Think

No, for real, this is terrifying.

10 min read
avatarCecilia Presley
5 Ways Female Narcissists Abuse Their Male Partners

Men are often abused this way and don’t know it

9 min read
avatarMichelle Teheux
We Could Learn a Lot About Sex From the Dutch

My Dutch relative’s views shocked me, but I immediately realized she was right

6 min read
avatarAlexander Nguyen
The resume that got a software engineer a $300,000 job at Google.

1-page. Well-formatted.

4 min read
avatarAdrian V
I Lost 30 lbs After Healing My Gut By Quitting These 4 Inflammatory Foods.

You can’t lose weight against a sick gut.

3 min read
avatarDan Foster
There is No Hate Like ‘Christian’ Love

Seven unloving things Christians do in the name of “love.”

12 min read