avatarJessica Doosan

Summary

The article discusses the current bearish state of the cryptocurrency market, the psychological cycle of investors, and the potential for recovery, emphasizing the importance of understanding market cycles and the similarity between the crypto industry and the internet in terms of both positive and negative aspects.

Abstract

The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a downturn, leading to a shift in sentiment among investors and influencers. The article emphasizes the significance of comprehending the cyclical nature of the crypto market, which includes periods of profit and loss, similar to other markets. Despite the negative perception of crypto, the author points out that there are still projects within the industry that are growing. The piece draws a parallel between the internet and crypto, noting that both have their share of valuable and harmful content, and the user's experience depends on their choices. The author also outlines the psychological journey of an investor through stages of hope, optimism, belief, thrill, euphoria, and greed, leading to a peak before a market crash. The crash is followed by anxiety, denial, panic, capitulation, anger, depression, and disbelief. The article suggests that the market may have reached its bottom and could stabilize in 2023, with a potential for a strong performance in 2024. It concludes by reminding readers that the article is for educational purposes and not financial advice.

Opinions

  • Profiting from cryptocurrency is currently challenging, and the market is in a bear phase.
  • Financial influencers have become critical of crypto, associating it with fraud and poor management.
  • Many influencers advise buying the dip without following their own advice, leading investors astray.
  • The crypto market, like the internet, has both beneficial and detrimental aspects, and it's up to the individual to navigate them.
  • The emotional cycle of investors in the crypto market follows a predictable pattern from hope to depression.
  • The author believes that the market may be at its lowest point and could see improvement in the near future.
  • The article is meant for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.

Crypto Cycle: The Current State of the Crypto Market and What will Come Next

Surrounding | Internet Vs Crypto | Harsh Reality | End Game!

Photo by charlesdeluvio on Unsplash

Friends, today we will not discuss any coin. We’ll try to find out why we arrived in the crypto market and whether or not it’s useful to us. There are many who have departed. In the end, everyone in any market seeks profit.

Profiting in cryptocurrency has now become a pipe dream. Profit has only existed in the dream and is only perceived in that. Profit is not seen in reality right now. In such a case, what should one do now: avoid crypto or reconsider the market?

It is essential to first understand how the crypto cycle works.

Cycle

Today, people’s opinions of the crypto market and how they feel are influenced by the cycle. These various cycles, such as the atmospheric cycle, daily routine cycle, and cooking cycle, represent a pattern or step-by-step phase. This cycle is true in both bull and downturn markets. We are currently in a bear market, so we know where we have reached in terms of the cycle.

Surrounding

Many financial influencers and market participants’ attitudes on cryptocurrency have shifted dramatically in recent months. The influencer believes that even when the term “crypto” is spoken, it is referred to as a hoax, a fraud, a fake project, poor fundamentals, hacking, terrible management, and other derogatory names. The simple reason is that they do not want to be associated with the term “crypto” in today’s world. They are forcibly stealing the name of crypto in the first video because of what he stated in front of the people.

Harsh Reality

Let me tell you a harsh reality.

Many influencers say, “Buy The Dip, Buy The Dip,” but never do. They merely provide us advice; they do not believe the advice they give to themselves. He leads us in silence like a madman.

As soon as the market bull run begins, these influencers bring several new coins in front of us and ask us to buy and stake. When everyone clicks on the purchase button, the market will have risen dramatically.

Photo by Denny Müller on Unsplash

Internet Vs Crypto

With all of this, I want to highlight that while the market is not in excellent shape right now, this does not imply that the whole crypto industry is in bad shape. In some ways, cryptocurrency is similar to the internet. The internet contains both excellent and terrible stuff.

Many excellent things may be learnt by seeking, and you might discover new methods to express yourself. You may dig deep into the nasty things on the same internet by searching for and viewing them. What you want to do with the internet is entirely in your hands. Crypto is as well.

Even during present bear market, there are a lot of such cryptocurrency projects that are steadily growing. In a bear market, it is challenging to find financing for a project. It all depends on the cryptocurrency you chose and where you put your money.

Understanding the crypto cycle and certain patterns will help you overcome mental worry. Following this, you will naturally grasp what to do next, when to reinvest, and how to enter the market.

People’s attitudes regarding cryptocurrency have declined to the point that they no longer want to read articles about it.

Weekly BTC Chart

Screenshot Of Tradingview — Weekly Chart

People learn about cryptocurrency via news channels, newspapers, Twitter, and social media. They discuss things with great excitement, and there they indicate that I invested $100 and now have $5000. A normal person has hope of obtaining money after seeing all of these things. You now believe that you are smarter than social media users and that you know how to convert $100 into $10,000. It gives us hope.

We do research using various social media channels, YouTube, and blogs. Download the exchange’s app, deposit money, and purchase coins. Such a first jump is common among normal people.

Optimism to Greed

The second stage is to be optimistic. We reflect on our own pasts and express our sadness that our lives are going to change. If you invest money in the future, you will make a lot of money, because cryptocurrency is the future. This is how slowly we begin to make money, and how our belief level progressively gets stronger. The money would be worth $250 today if it had been invested. Then you get so knowledgeable that you begin margin trading as well. The term “thrill” refers to margin trading time. Now there is so much confidence that you could acquire the entire bank. This is referred to as euphoric illness. Greed started the endgame.

  • hope
  • optimism
  • Belief
  • Thrill
  • Euphoria
  • Greed

Festival

After reaching the Euphoria and Greed levels, you will be in such a mental state that you will be invited to the Cannes Film Festival one day. Until this point, the bull market’s cycle has come to an end. Then, as soon as the market falls and large missiles like Elon Musk, project collapse, bankrupt, and global economic conditions start to emerge, the market will crash. Following that, both you and the market will collapse.

End Game!

The market recovers somewhat after the crash, and then appears to be relaxed. At that point, tweets began to circulate claiming that the market would soon recover and that bitcoin would hit $100,000. As soon as you reach a state of relaxation, a crash takes place, followed by anxiousness. All coins collapse in price, are hacked, and liquid crashes.

Denial mode now kicks in, followed by panic. In Panic, it appears that everything you get, you should sell it or keep it for a long time. When FTX news arrives, everyone becomes furious, and influencers spread live microphones and say hateful things. Everyone claims in the comments section that you know nothing, that you trapped us, and that we drowned.

  • Anxiety
  • Denial
  • panic
  • Capitulation
  • Angry
  • Depression
  • Disbelief

After this comes the time of depression, then comes disbelief. There are two last levels: depression and disbelief. People’s moods are currently at these two levels. The market has risen little, which is a reason to celebrate. People suspect this jump is a fake because there have been other frauds in the market. Traders seek opportunities to short when they sense a pump. It merely indicates that the belief has ended.

When bitcoin reaches $25,000, people will believe, and the posts about crypto being dead will vanish.

The bear market will come to an end in 2023. I think the market will stabilize in the middle of 2023 and perform well in 2024.

The market is still in a bear trend, but it appears that we have reached the bottom.

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Disclaimer

This is not a Financial Advice. This article is meant only for educational purpose. I am just sharing my thoughts and analysis based on my many years of experience.

Thank You for Reading…

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Bitcoin
Crypto
Finance
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Investing
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