America’s Worst Nightmare Is About to Come True
Trump is not going to leave the oval office — the experts have been saying this for a year now
This year’s election is a difficult one. The authorities will not be able to finalize the results for a while as the counting process is going to take more time. This year more people opted to vote via mail.
Biden has 50.2% votes, and he is leading. But Trump has more than 48.2% votes at this time. It is a narrow margin. It is going to be Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and upper-Midwest states that are going to matter more in the final shape of result figures.
At 2:25 a.m. on Wednesday, Trump declared his victory at the White House. He alleged that his opponents are stealing his votes, and he’ll go to the Supreme Court.
“This is a fraud on the American people. It is an embarrassment to our country. We were getting ready to win this election. Frankly, we did win this election.” ~ Trump said
Trump is a stubborn man, and he has been planning to dispute the results of the elections for months now. He is insisting on stopping the counting of votes.
Biden, on the other hand, is hopeful of victory. “We feel good about where we are,” he said. “We really do. I’m here to tell you tonight; we believe we’re on track to win this election.”
In Florida, Trump is probably going to win. His votes are more than the expectations. Biden’s lead is small, even in areas where the Hispanic population is in the majority, like Miami-Dade county.
Trump is leading in Ohio. Biden did well in Nevada. Most of the states where Biden was supposed to win against Trump this year are not showing the result Democrats expected. Texas is as Republican as ever. The position in North Carolina is undecided yet. Trump is leading even in Georgia at this point.
The final situation is not going to be clear until Friday. The Electoral College may see a 269–269 tie. In that case, the U.S. House will decide the fate of the elections.
Trump might still shock everyone by winning the election. But Democrats are waiting for the ‘Blue shift’ to help them as it did in 2018.
The people are going to face a period of uncertainty until the final results become known after a few more days.
Some states keep accepting votes for several days after the elections if the voters posted the ballots by Election Day or before.
There are going to be more lawsuits this year as Donald Trump has been planning to dispute the results for months. He thinks he is going to get a favorable opinion from the Supreme Court after the appointment of Amy Coney Barrett. Trump has nominated three federal judges to the Supreme Court in the past years.
In 2016, Pennsylvania was the largest state to swing to Trump and became a Republican state. He won the state by only 0.7%. But this year, Trump has 53.3% votes as compared with 45.5% votes of Biden.
Pennsylvania has 20 electoral votes. Out of the 3 million mailed ballots, the officials have counted only half. That leaves 1.5 million votes. If Joe Biden wins this state, it may lead him to victory. But if Trump is to retain the presidency, he must win here.
Pennsylvania might be the battleground for legal matters this year as it has a poor history of election administration. Florida, in 2000 elections, had decided the outcome after the Supreme Court resolved the voting issues.
Like always, Democrats are more likely to vote by mail. As the ‘Blue shift’ phenomenon is well documented, there is a greater chance that the Democrats are going to get the larger share of the late-counted votes.
The number of absentee votes have increased in this election as compared with the elections in the past due to the pandemic.
Trump is hopeful that the confirmation of Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court will give him the necessary edge when push comes to shove.
Trump is also planning to request a recount in Wisconsin where Biden has a narrow lead.
Democracy cannot work if all the authorities do not manage the legal battles. If Trump refuses to accept the decision even after a defeat and casts sufficient doubts about the process of voting, the trust of the people in the democratic process might get hurt.
Biden, however, is convinced that Trump will leave the office peacefully after the Federal Election Commission announces the final decision:
“I will accept it, and he will too. You know why? Because once the winner is declared, once all the ballots count is complete, that’ll be the end of it.” Biden
The chances of prolonged litigation are increasing as U.S. Postal Service ignored a federal judge’s order:
The U.S. Postal Service disregarded a federal judge’s election-day order to conduct processing-facility sweeps in 12 postal districts after the agency disclosed that they could not trace more than 300,000 ballots.
Only the coming days are going to tell us more about this worst nightmare in the history of US democracy.
Latest Situation and Final Words
Here is the final situation, according to the Washington Post, at this point:
Biden is likely to win in these states: California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Virginia, Washington, Massachusetts, Maryland, Minnesota, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Oregon, New Mexico, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, Vermont, Delaware, and the District of Columbia, plus one electoral vote in Nebraska.
Trump is likely to win in these states: Texas, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, Tennessee, Missouri, Alabama, South Carolina, Kentucky, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Iowa, Kansas, Mississippi, Utah, West Virginia, Idaho, Montana, South Dakota, North Dakota and Wyoming, plus three electoral votes in Nebraska.
Democrats party’s chances of taking the Senate have lessened after results are coming in. They may retain their majority in the House but will not be expanding their lead.
Until things become clear, we are going to see masterpieces of Trumpian rhetoric. Trump will target everyone — the media, the agencies, his political opponents, and the military — and the objective would be to somehow dispute the election results for as long as possible.
