Something that we should’ve known
America. Is It Possible This Might Be the Fall of The Kingdom?
Petrol, Brazil, Yuan. Is it true or is it just handmade euphoria?
Cause and effect remain temporally differentiated and within a deterministic system. Yet, when we deal with the future that is yet to come,
- We must beyond this take account of its openness, the real alternative possibilities that exist,
- The wills and intentions of humans, their awareness and spontaneity,
- The intensities with which they strive for a certain goal,
- and the feedback of knowledge itself into self-fulfilling or self-denying prophecies.
In this exact moment of the United States and the issues of Brazil, the Petrol Dollar, and Yuan make almost every finance expert within the United States use more than 50% of their prediction based on history and sociologically based. And don’t mistake me, they’re not wrong.
This is the true meaning of Domino effects. The thing that makes social science unique is that the people who are being studied can use social science knowledge to free themselves from the historical routines that make it possible for any “social scientist” to prove the truth of systems of explanation that are definitive.
Although this may cause difficulties for the social scientist, it gives all of us living, breathing, choice-making individuals a cause for hope. Yet, until recently, the way social science was taught, with its focus on how the past affects behavior, tended to put less emphasis on the knowledge that is needed for future freedom.
Many certain groups of people in the United state still too focused on the things that make no sense to consider in comparison to the recent situation that in larger scope going to break America inside-out.
The truth is that the technology to make this possible in many cases already exists (in terms of use, not regular policies). One need only think of the speed with which ground-control crypto units respond to the situation describing conditions in American Finance on the Internet space.
Justification of the future
The impact on the Saudi economy would likely depend on the number of oil sales involved and the price of oil. Some economists said moving away from dollar-denominated oil sales would diversify the kingdom’s revenue base and could eventually lead it to repel the riyal to a basket of currencies, similar to Kuwait’s dinar.
The ultimate purpose of the study of the future is to help people create a better life for themselves, and for this what is needed is control. Or, if we are dealing with changing phenomena that cannot be controlled, then at least we must learn how to live with constantly changing social patterns by anticipating them.
The aim, where possible, is to subject the rate and direction of social change to the will of a human being but STILL sturdy on International trade.
This suggests that social-finance science must include not merely the study of past change, trends, and cycles, and the cause of change, but possibilities for the future: the fan of alternative futures which, at any given time, could emerge into reality and the probabilities under existing trends and cycles and under different ones.
It must include making predictions. It must include the study of the preferences of different individuals, groups, and the human race as a whole — their wished-for and feared futures — as well as the scale of values by which different possible futures are evaluated.
Now answer me this;
Do you really think America’s youth in this generation are able to handle this kind of thing?
This is a full blow and as an adult person, social conditions have taught the youth of the US a great deal about the so-called human condition. They have taught considerably less, however, about the youth's potential.
“Each of the social situations has it own waeaknesses as a future-oriented activity, yet each has its unique contribution as well.”-Anonymous Economist
Yes, you are right sir! but not in the collapse of the currency situation.
Reserve Currency
This is a summary for those of you who don’t know what happened;
The US Dollar is the most powerful money in the world because it is a reserve currency. This means money that is used all over the world. Since 1945, the US dollar has been that currency because it is safe, strong, and stable.
When the system was first put in place, it was used to keep the prices of stocks, exchange rates, and commodities like golden oil stable. This was possible because the value of every currency was tied to that of the US dollar.
See, when a lot of different countries are all sharing goods and services with each other, it helps to have one universal currency that is used everywhere and has a stable value.
If you don’t, you might get paid in a currency that is hard to swap or that has lost value by the time you can change it back to your home currency. So, think of the US dollar as a way to move value around the world in a way that everyone agrees is safe.
The US benefits from this, too, because more countries use the US dollar and most countries hold on to it. This gives us more buying power. But it looks like the US dollar could lose its standing as the Reserve currency. If you want to know why, you only need to read Ray Dalio’s book Changing World Order.
He says that throughout history, the leading economy and the rising economy have always changed the way the world works. And eventually, one will die out to make room for something new. For example, before 1945, the reserve currency was the British pound, which lasted for 105 years after the French Revolution.
After that, it was the Netherlands, Spain, Portugal, Venetian gold, and so on. Reserve currencies have never lasted forever, and about every 100 years, they change in a transition that lasts between 10 and 20 years.
Ray Dalio summarized 3 points; the Rise, the Top, and the Decline.
The rise During the rise after every new reserve currency, there’s a period of peace and prosperity where people bet and borrow on that system continuing. This is usually marked by a strong education, critical thinking, character building, and work ethic that allows for innovation, new tech, and other resources for a continuous rise and productivity.
But in order to finance that continuous rise in output, there needs to be a way to borrow money and let people from all over the world turn their money into investments that share in the success of making that happen. In fact, Ray Dalio says that all of the reserve currencies went in the same direction. Which, of course, leads to THE TOP.
The top At the peak, most people agree that as people earn more, their time becomes more valuable compared to people in other countries who would be willing to do the same work for less.
On top of that, other countries can take blueprints of the latest innovation and copy it for a fraction of the cost, making the leading Powers less competitive. When people lose faith in the reserve currency, they won’t buy it and would rather sell than reinvest the gains, which leads to a decline.
The Decline Ray says that during an economic downturn if a country can’t pay its own debts, it has to choose between defaulting or printing more money. They’ll always choose to print more money, even though it lowers the value of the currency and raises inflation.
Pass the history
Since the 1990s, the central bank has already stepped in three times to help pay for the collapse of the advertising industry: once during the.com, bubble, once during the mortgage crisis, and once when covid shut down.
In the past, it has been said that when a government has trouble paying its bills because of a bad economy or rising inflation, the rich move their money and investments to places where they feel safer. This makes it possible for another country’s currency to take over as the reserve currency.
Surprisingly, he says that these things have happened over and over again since the Roman Empire, even though no two changes have been exactly the same. We could look at a similar plan to see what might happen in the future.
In this case, the value of the dollar is in fact going down. Even though officially a dollar is always worth one dollar, you can see that it’s worth more than that.it’s measured by three different things:
First, is how much one currency is worth in terms of another. The second is the desire for 10-year treasury notes, and the third is foreign currency reserves, which is a fancy way of saying how many US dollars are held by other countries.
Now, it’s true that the value of the US dollar has been slowly going down in comparison to other currencies since 2020. Despite the recent drop, the value of the US dollar is now stronger than it has been in the last 20 years.
Second, as far as demand for tenure treasury notes goes, this is basically just a 10-year loan to the government, and people who want a safe place to keep their money will buy these and get a sure return on their capital.
The value of the US dollar, on the other hand, has been going up along with interest rates. This is because more people want to buy better-yielding bonds as interest rates go up, which is good for the US dollar.
Third, when it comes to foreign currency reserves, things aren’t as good. As you can see, the US dollar has been steadily falling as other currencies have started to take its place, and CNBC says that we’re now at the lowest level we’ve seen in 25 years. This brings us to what’s happening right now.
On March 29, it was announced that China and Brazil had made a deal to trade in their own currencies instead of using the US dollar as a middleman. This would allow them to trade directly with each other without having to buy US dollars. Currently, they do around $150 billion worth of business with each other every year, which is no longer going through the U.S.
China and the Economy's Impact
Now, keep in mind that this is not the first time something like this has happened. Since 2010, China has been slowly moving away from the US dollar. Russia and India both stopped using the US dollar a year ago, and Saudi Arabia recently said it was open to dealing with the Chinese Yuan. Russia, Brazil, India, and South Africa already work together to trade in their own Reserve money, called “bric’s,” which is different from our dollars.
This isn’t something that just popped up out of nowhere, but as Great Capital points out on Twitter, it could have a big impact. The Russia-Ukraine war caused China’s trading volume to skyrocket, and sanctions gave them an even stronger foothold in international trade.
Is this something to worry about, and could the U.S. be moving towards a time when it’s no longer the reserve currency?
Well, the future of the US dollar looks uncertain, but there’s nothing close to being able to take its place right now. It’s not very reassuring to hear that China’s economy will be bigger than the US’s by 2030 or that BRICS economies are some of the fastest growing in the world, but the US dollar still makes up the vast majority of global transactions, and it dominance is not going away anytime soon.
If there were to be a new Reserve currency, a lot of things would have to happen first. It might not happen, or it might not happen in a way that we could reasonably predict, even if a huge Black Swan event happened that made the US less important in world trade.
This doesn’t mean that people aren’t worried, though. Even Elon Musk tweeted that this is a major problem. U.S. policy has been too strong, making other countries want to ditch the dollar. This, combined with high government spending, means that other countries have to take on a lot of our inflation.
It’s no wonder that Barons recently said that the U.S. stimulus after the financial crisis started a currency war by making the Greenback less valuable to help America’s economy. There is a very real risk that other countries, even Saudi Arabia, will want to compete.
But at the end of the day, the US dollar is being traded less and there is more competition between countries, which isn’t going away any time soon. However, I think the US dollar as a reserve currency isn’t going anywhere.
My take
It’s still number one by a long shot, and most of the headlines you see are just trying to get you to click on them. I think it’s a waste of time to worry about this when there are so many more important things to worry about.
If both sides can’t agree on how to raise the debt ceiling, it’s likely to have a big effect on the markets. This is why I think it’s important to know what’s going on and why it’s happening.
Instead, we should focus on what we can control, like whether or not we’re diversified, whether or not we save enough money, whether or not we have a steady income, and whether or not we invest on a regular basis.
I think you’ll make a lot more money if you focus on those things instead of worrying about the possibility that the US might not be the world’s reserve currency forever.
This could happen in our lifetimes,
But if you focus on what you can control, you’ll be in a much better position to FOLLOW ME!!! Haha






