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His instinct to kill Kylo Ren did.</p><h2 id="b006">9. Rey has a psychologically hard experience inside a cave in the middle of the movie: DOUBLY CORRECT</h2><p id="6a5a">She doesn’t have one, but two of these events. The first one is when she’s training with Luke and she transports herself. The second one is when she literally jumps into the cave of the Dark Side in Ahch-To and sees herself in multiple versions.</p><h2 id="ba44">10. Rey will get closer to the Dark Side in that cave: CORRECT</h2><p id="3b30">Not only did she get closer to the Dark Side. She literally got into a cave of the Dark Side.</p><h2 id="ed42">11. But Luke and Rey won’t be the only ones to turn towards the Dark Side: PARTLY WRONG</h2><p id="bfc0">DJ does turn to the Dark Side, but it isn’t a moral turn, and he isn’t a key hero of the trilogy.</p><h2 id="fa5a">12. Rey will learn about her family: CORRECT</h2><p id="478b">This one is especially interesting. When she believes she will discover her parents in the movie’s Midpoint, she in fact sees herself, which is a cryptic revelation about her family. Then, Kylo tells her that her parents are nobodies…</p><h2 id="524d">13. Rey’s parents might be Luke or Leia: UNDETERMINED</h2><p id="8250">Despite what Kylo tells Rey, it isn’t clear whether that is settled or not. Given the mind connection between Luke and Leia, and the one between Kylo and Rey, it is still likely that a new revelation will appear in SW9.</p><h2 id="f094">14. Luke and Rey will have differences: CORRECT</h2><p id="c86b">So much so that they fight! Luke doesn’t want to go back to the fight and doesn’t believe Kylo Ren can be saved. Rey believes so, and is decided to leave Luke to save Kylo.</p><h2 id="0aa7">15. Rey will leave to meet her friends again: CORRECT</h2><p id="84ed">Rey leaves to save her friends, and she does that by flying into Kylo Ren’s arms.</p><h2 id="2b0b">16. Meanwhile, somebody’s falling in love: CORRECT</h2><p id="f7da">Yeah, that was Rose falling for Finn!</p><figure id="27a3"><img src="https://cdn-images-1.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:800/1*VszocXJvK-O_rHV2g-8PHQ.gif"><figcaption>Rose kisses Finn at the end</figcaption></figure><h2 id="e135">17. We will see a planet full of deception: CORRECT</h2><p id="31d5">As expected, Canto Bight was the planet of deception: gambling, deception of the racing animals, deception of the prison escape, deception of DJ.</p><h2 id="ddf7">18. Rey might use Jedi mind tricks: CORRECT</h2><p id="0e52">She breaks a huge rock with her mind and connects with Kylo Ren from a huge distance. Pretty impressive!.</p><h2 id="9cb3">19. Rey’s friends will be used as a trap: TRIPLY CORRECT</h2><p id="e91b">There are 3 traps in The Last Jedi: the beacon enables the First Order to track the Resistance in hyperspace, Finn a

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nd Rose are trapped by DJ, and as soon as Kylo Ren appears friendly to Rey, she leaves for him—not knowing it’s a trap from Snoke.</p><h2 id="3fba">20. Some sort of mercenary will be involved in the trap: CORRECT</h2><p id="f975">It was DJ! As expected, he was the mercenary heir to Jango and Boba Fett who trapped Rose and Finn.</p><figure id="53ca"><img src="https://cdn-images-1.readmedium.com/v2/resize:fit:800/1*s8wGWBpAFEGmpJW-80g6kw.jpeg"><figcaption>DJ, you’re predictable</figcaption></figure><h2 id="7840">21. A hero will fall into the trap</h2><p id="8e3c">It was Rey… Rey fell into the trap laid by Snoke… And Finn into DJ’s trap!</p><h2 id="cc58">22. Somebody will lose a limb at the beginning of the movie 23. And somebody else will lose a limb at the end: MISGUIDED</h2><p id="7242">One solution that the director, Rian Johnson, could have used was to cut Rey’s or Kylo’s limb, like Anakin in SW2 and Luke in SW5. But instead, he decided to cut Snoke in half, like Darth Maul in SW1.</p><h2 id="a814">24. Leia will probably disappear: CORRECT</h2><p id="e88f">She disappears in space… Only to return! The fact that they didn’t change the story and kill her off at the end will make it hard for JJ Abrams in SW9…</p><h2 id="f474">25. Kylo Ren will have more doubts about the Dark Side: CORRECT</h2><p id="5d20">Kylo still has doubts about himself and the Dark Side. He still hates Luke for trying to kill him. Snoke still feels his conflict. And so does Rey.</p><h2 id="a9be">26. Kylo Ren will also have his “cave moment”: DOUBLY CORRECT</h2><p id="653f">Kylo goes through two self-revelations: first, his connection with Rey opens an alternative world for him, where he is not consumed by Darkness. Second, he decides to kill his master, Snoke.</p><h2 id="8779">27. Kylo Ren will face a Jedi in a lightsaber duel at the end of the movie: CORRECT</h2><p id="2331">It was Luke!</p><h2 id="524f">28. But none of them will win…: CORRECT</h2><p id="eb12">Neither Luke nor Kylo Ren won in that lightsaber fight. Luke “escaped” like he escaped Darth Vader in SW5. This time, by not being there at all.</p><h2 id="3956">29. The universe will grow to maximum instability, without a clear winner between the Light and Dark Sides: CORRECT</h2><p id="c30d">There is not a clear winner. The First Order has lost its wise and evil leader, and with it two massive ships. The Resistance has escaped and is now in a position to rekindle the flame of hope in the Galaxy</p><p id="db6b">¹ 88% prediction success rate based on 23 correct predictions and 3 wrong ones. There were also 3 predictions that are either undetermined or partly correct, which were extracted from the total of 29 predictions. Other predictions are doubly or triply right, but they were only counted once.</p></article></body>

90% of my predictions about The Last Jedi were right

Two months before The Last Jedi’s premiere, I made 29 predictions about the movie. 23 became correct and 3 were undetermined or partly correct, for a prediction success rate of nearly 90%¹. This article describes the 29 predictions and how they compare to what happens in the movie.

SPOILER ALERT

1. The First Order will attack a Resistance base: DOUBLY CORRECT

This happens not only once, but twice! At the beginning, when they’re evacuating the main base, and at the end, when they’re escaping behind the old base in Crait. This is like the attack of Geonosis in SW2 and Hoth in SW5.

2. The attack happens on a desert planet: CORRECT

Like Geonosis and Hoth, Crait is a desert planet.

The Crait invasion mirrors the invasions of Geonosis and Hoth

3. The attack will be led by Captain Phasma: WRONG

This prediction was based more on the trailers than the story structure. A good lesson to stick to story structure!

4. Poe will try to escape at the last minute: DOUBLY CORRECT

In both First Order attacks, Poe escapes at the last minute. First, from the First Order destroyers at the beginning, and second, when he confronts the big laser in Crait.

5. Rey will levitate things during a training on the Force: DOUBLY CORRECT

Not only does she levitate stones during a training with Luke. She also levitates them at the end, when saving her friends from a blocked passage.

Rey levitates rocks during her training with Luke

6. Luke questions the Light Side of the Force: CORRECT

He explains to Rey how Jedis didn’t leave anything behind them because they were full of hubris.

7. Luke might even have turned closer to the Dark Side: CORRECT

It’s revealed that Luke thought about killing Kylo Ren.

8. Luke’s move away from the Light Side is based on his findings on the Journal of Whills and the Balance in the Force: PARTLY WRONG

The Journal of Whills and the Balance are some of the strongest motives behind what Luke thinks about the Jedis, but they didn’t push him to the Dark Side. His instinct to kill Kylo Ren did.

9. Rey has a psychologically hard experience inside a cave in the middle of the movie: DOUBLY CORRECT

She doesn’t have one, but two of these events. The first one is when she’s training with Luke and she transports herself. The second one is when she literally jumps into the cave of the Dark Side in Ahch-To and sees herself in multiple versions.

10. Rey will get closer to the Dark Side in that cave: CORRECT

Not only did she get closer to the Dark Side. She literally got into a cave of the Dark Side.

11. But Luke and Rey won’t be the only ones to turn towards the Dark Side: PARTLY WRONG

DJ does turn to the Dark Side, but it isn’t a moral turn, and he isn’t a key hero of the trilogy.

12. Rey will learn about her family: CORRECT

This one is especially interesting. When she believes she will discover her parents in the movie’s Midpoint, she in fact sees herself, which is a cryptic revelation about her family. Then, Kylo tells her that her parents are nobodies…

13. Rey’s parents might be Luke or Leia: UNDETERMINED

Despite what Kylo tells Rey, it isn’t clear whether that is settled or not. Given the mind connection between Luke and Leia, and the one between Kylo and Rey, it is still likely that a new revelation will appear in SW9.

14. Luke and Rey will have differences: CORRECT

So much so that they fight! Luke doesn’t want to go back to the fight and doesn’t believe Kylo Ren can be saved. Rey believes so, and is decided to leave Luke to save Kylo.

15. Rey will leave to meet her friends again: CORRECT

Rey leaves to save her friends, and she does that by flying into Kylo Ren’s arms.

16. Meanwhile, somebody’s falling in love: CORRECT

Yeah, that was Rose falling for Finn!

Rose kisses Finn at the end

17. We will see a planet full of deception: CORRECT

As expected, Canto Bight was the planet of deception: gambling, deception of the racing animals, deception of the prison escape, deception of DJ.

18. Rey might use Jedi mind tricks: CORRECT

She breaks a huge rock with her mind and connects with Kylo Ren from a huge distance. Pretty impressive!.

19. Rey’s friends will be used as a trap: TRIPLY CORRECT

There are 3 traps in The Last Jedi: the beacon enables the First Order to track the Resistance in hyperspace, Finn and Rose are trapped by DJ, and as soon as Kylo Ren appears friendly to Rey, she leaves for him—not knowing it’s a trap from Snoke.

20. Some sort of mercenary will be involved in the trap: CORRECT

It was DJ! As expected, he was the mercenary heir to Jango and Boba Fett who trapped Rose and Finn.

DJ, you’re predictable

21. A hero will fall into the trap

It was Rey… Rey fell into the trap laid by Snoke… And Finn into DJ’s trap!

22. Somebody will lose a limb at the beginning of the movie 23. And somebody else will lose a limb at the end: MISGUIDED

One solution that the director, Rian Johnson, could have used was to cut Rey’s or Kylo’s limb, like Anakin in SW2 and Luke in SW5. But instead, he decided to cut Snoke in half, like Darth Maul in SW1.

24. Leia will probably disappear: CORRECT

She disappears in space… Only to return! The fact that they didn’t change the story and kill her off at the end will make it hard for JJ Abrams in SW9…

25. Kylo Ren will have more doubts about the Dark Side: CORRECT

Kylo still has doubts about himself and the Dark Side. He still hates Luke for trying to kill him. Snoke still feels his conflict. And so does Rey.

26. Kylo Ren will also have his “cave moment”: DOUBLY CORRECT

Kylo goes through two self-revelations: first, his connection with Rey opens an alternative world for him, where he is not consumed by Darkness. Second, he decides to kill his master, Snoke.

27. Kylo Ren will face a Jedi in a lightsaber duel at the end of the movie: CORRECT

It was Luke!

28. But none of them will win…: CORRECT

Neither Luke nor Kylo Ren won in that lightsaber fight. Luke “escaped” like he escaped Darth Vader in SW5. This time, by not being there at all.

29. The universe will grow to maximum instability, without a clear winner between the Light and Dark Sides: CORRECT

There is not a clear winner. The First Order has lost its wise and evil leader, and with it two massive ships. The Resistance has escaped and is now in a position to rekindle the flame of hope in the Galaxy

¹ 88% prediction success rate based on 23 correct predictions and 3 wrong ones. There were also 3 predictions that are either undetermined or partly correct, which were extracted from the total of 29 predictions. Other predictions are doubly or triply right, but they were only counted once.

Star Wars
The Last Jedi
Ring Theory
Storytelling
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