Summary

The provided content discusses former Chinese journalist Zhao Lanjian's analysis of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) leaders' perspectives and potential future behaviors following the 20th National Congress.

Abstract

According to Zhao Lanjian, a former Chinese journalist who recently fled to America, the CCP leaders have developed five key understandings regarding the current state of China and its relationship with the U.S., global ideologies, economic challenges, and internal conflicts. These understandings suggest an irreparable relationship with the U.S., a final ideological confrontation, critical external pressures, domestic economic struggles leading to social unrest, and the necessity of reverting to a more isolated state to prevent regime collapse. Consequently, Zhao predicts eight possible behavior patterns that the CCP may adopt, including a return to orthodox communist ideology, elimination of Western influences, combatting economic oligopolies, tightening control over society and the internet, increasing government financial power, empowering local governance, and controlling educational content for propaganda purposes.

Opinions

The relationship between China and the U.S. is seen as beyond repair.
There is a perceived global clash between communist ideology and universal values.
The CCP feels under siege by Western countries, creating a critical internal and external situation.
Economic downturns in China are believed to be fueling various social conflicts.
To avert regime collapse, the CCP might revert to a closed-door policy.
The CCP may intensify its communist ideology, potentially nationalizing enterprises.
There is an intent to remove Western cultural influences from China.
The CCP could take measures to dismantle the middle class and appease the lower class.
Social liberalization may be reduced, with a strengthening of monopolistic control.
Public opinion and internet content will likely face stricter control to limit freedom of expression.
The space for private property may be reduced to expand government financial resources.
Local government power may be increased, along with strengthened law enforcement.
School education will probably be more tightly controlled to enhance propaganda efforts.

5 Common Understandings of CCP Leaders & 8 Behavior Patterns after 20th National Congress — Jennifer’s World

A large amount of PLA soldiers spotted in front of The Great Hall of the People in Beijing during the CCP’s 7th plenary session of the 19th Central Committee.

Former Chinese journalist Zhao Lanjian, who just escaped from China to America in July after he tried to cover the issue of the chained woman, the CCP leaders have reached 5 common understandings about China and CCP, and therefore, the CCP may adopt 8 possible behavior patterns after the 20th National Congress.

The five common understandings of the CCP leaders are:

1. The relationship between China and the U.S. is already irreparable;

2. Communist ideology and universal values around the world have entered a final showdown stage;

3. The Western countries’ siege has caused a critical situation for the CCP both inside and outside China;

4. The economic downturn in China has brought about various social conflicts;

5. To prevent the collapse of the regime, it is inevitable to return to a closed-door, isolated state.

Based on the 5 common understandings, these are the 8 possible behavior patterns of the CCP in the following years:

Rapid return to the original ideology of the CCP’s doctrine, gradual elimination of private enterprises, and nationalization of all enterprises to achieve full communism;

2. Elimination of all Western cultural influences;

3. Combatting the oligopoly economy, getting rid of the middle class, and pleasing the bottom class;

4. Reducing the liberalization of social life and strengthening monopolistic rule;

5. Strict control of public opinion and cleansing of the Internet to restrict freedom of expression;

6. Squeeze the space for private property and expand government financial resources;

7. Give more power to lower-level government and strengthen law enforcement at the street and township levels.

8. Control of school education to improve the effectiveness of brainwashing.

These are the images shared by Zhao Lanjian.

My analysis below:

10/14/2022*

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Originally published at https://www.jenniferzengblog.com on October 14, 2022.