3 Things Rich Investors Are Watching to Know What Do With Their Money
It is not the stock market

The financial world is at an inflection point. Businesses are getting squeezed like never before. On the one hand, the interest on their loans is rising. On the other hand, workers are asking for more wages (due to inflation). If you are looking at the stock market to determine the state of the economy, you are being misled.
Here are 3 things the smart and wealthy investors are looking at:
1. Oil Prices
This civilization runs on energy. And there is no efficient and cheap energy source like oil. If you cut all costs, you will not be able to cut energy. Without energy, there is no productivity.
It is the fuel in your car. And in the generator or power plant that charges your electric car. It is the electricity generation plant that powers your home. It affects airfares too. And everything we are involved with.
Oil prices show the true state of the global economy. A low oil price is good for production. Higher oil prices mean higher costs of production, which in turn leads to higher prices for everything.
2. CPI & PPI
CPI is the consumer price index. PPI is the producer price index. Both are data from the government. CPI tells us about aggregate demand in the marketplace by comparing the cost of the same things one month apart, or one year apart.
PPI does the same thing but from the lens of the producers and manufacturers. Meaning, what it costs them to produce now compared to before.
These two data sets are important because they tell you where inflation is. When the central banks say they are watching the data, these two data sets are principally what they are watching.
3. Interest Rate
This can be explained as the cost of borrowing money. Most businesses operate with debt. And the monthly payments on their debts (and the interest payment on their debts) is determined by the interest rate.
The interest rate is the official percentage you are allowed to charge on the principal. This rate is determined by the central bank.
When the interest rate is low, businesses can borrow money and take a lot of risks. When the interest rate is high, businesses are discouraged from borrowing money.
Interest rates have a crazier impact on the economy. Most businesses operate on loans. This means they already have loans they are servicing. When the interest rate goes up, it means that their monthly debt repayment goes higher (if it is not on a fixed rate). When on a fixed rate, it means businesses cannot refinance their debts to reduce their monthly payments.
And it gets even more interesting. Government bonds are affected by interest rates. In recent times, they have driven yields up and prices down. So, businesses that shore up capital in bonds as a safe haven get faced with capital problems (especially banks).
Conclusion
Smart investors aren’t looking at the stock market to judge the current economic climate. Instead, they are looking at:
- Oil price
- CPI and PPI
- Interest rates
You need a fundamental understanding of those 3 if you want to be a wise investor.
I share more about these parameters and global economic trends on richculture.co
